2nd Consecutive Weekly Loss On Wall Street

SPX- 12.16.13closes on support- prior chart highsSTOCK MARKET COMMENTARY:
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 13, 2013

The SPX and DJIA fell for a second straight week but found support near their prior chart highs and aboce their respective 50 DMA lines. As long as support holds, by definition, the bulls remain in control of this market. To put this pullback in the proper perspective, the S&P 500 surged 10% in 8 weeks which is a very strong move. Over the past two weeks, the S&P 500 has only fallen 2%. So far, this is just another healthy pullback within a broader uptrend. So far, these pullbacks are lasting a matter of days, not weeks or months- which illustrates how strong the bulls are right now. The intermediate and long term outlook remain very bullish as the major averages and a slew of leading stocks continue to act very well. As we have mentioned several times this year, we are in a very strong bull market and pullbacks should be bought, not sold.

MONDAY-WEDNESDAY’S ACTION: Stocks Slide On Taper Woes

Stocks rallied on Monday, helping the S&P 500 jump to a fresh record close. Several Fed officials gave speeches around the country with some arguing for a Fed taper sooner than expected while others argued for more QE. CNBC.com reported that: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker on Monday said he expects a taper discussion at next week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting, while St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said positive trends in the labor market make cuts to the Fed’s $85 billion in monthly bond purchases more likely. Speaking in Chicago, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Richard Fisher reiterated his view that the Fed should start cutting back on its bond purchases “at the earliest opportunity.” The speeches came before Fed officials go into their “blackout” period before the two-day FOMC gathering that starts next Tuesday. Overseas, China said exports rose +12.7% last month compared to November 2012 while imports rose 5.3%. A separate report showed that consumer prices rose 3% in China.
US stocks were quiet on Tuesday as investors paused to digest the recent move. Shares of Twitter (TWTR) jumped to a new all-time high which captured some headlines.  The US said that it exited its stake in General Motors (GM) and lost $10 billion in the process. Separately, GM announced said Mary Barra will take over as CEO, which was the first female CEO in the care company’s history. Stocks fell on Wednesday sending the small-cap Russell 2000 slicing below its 50 DMA line for the firs time since October 9th. Separately, D.C. reached a budget deal to reduce automatic spending cuts and the deficit by $23 billion over the next two year.  Hilton Worldwide (HLT) priced at $20 a share and came public after Blackstone (BX) took the hotel giant private in 2007.

THURSDAY & FRIDAY’S ACTION: Stocks Try To Defend Support

Stocks fell for a third straight day on Wednesday as fear spread that the Fed may taper on Wednesday. We still don’t think that the Fed will taper one week before Christmas but we are cognizant of the fact that what the market thinks will happen is the only thing that matters. Shares of Facebook (FB) soared after S&P Dow Jones Indices said the social-media giant will be added to the S&P 500 in a few days. Facebook is already in the Nasdaq 100 and the fact that it is being added to the S&P 500 bodes well for this young stock.  Stocks were relatively quiet on Friday.

MARKET OUTLOOK: Bulls Continue To Fight

The market is strong and, in the short-term, is pulling back to help alleviate its very extended condition of late. For weeks we have been saying, the market will pullback and it is just a matter of when, not if. That is exactly what is happening. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape.

Similar Posts

  • Quiet Day On Wall Street

    Market Action-Confirmed Uptrend
    The market is back in a confirmed uptrend after a modest (and healthy) -6% correction from its post-recovery highs. We find it very bullish to see the mid cap S&P 400 index hit a fresh all time high and the small cap Russell 2000 index flirt with its all time high. in addition, the Dow Jones Industrial Average vaulted to a fresh post-recovery high and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite are just shy of fresh 2011 highs! Finally, we are very happy to see a slew of high ranked stocks trigger fresh technical buy signals in recent weeks which suggests higher, not lower prices lie ahead. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Have you seen the “Wise Money Library”?
    Now, All In One Place, A Collection Of Strategies, Techniques and
    Resources That Professional Traders and Investors Use
    Have a Look: www.WiseMoneyLibrary.com

  • Stocks Rally on Strong Economic Data

    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up in November and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. Put simply, stocks are strong. Trade accordingly. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

  • Stocks End Mixed

    Market Action- Rally Under Pressure; Week 26
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines recently which is a healthy sign. From our point of view, the market remains in rally-mode until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.
    Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
    Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

  • 27-Week Rally Continues!

    Market Action- Rally Under Pressure; Week 27 Begins
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines in November, January, and late February. From our point of view, the market remains in rally-mode until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks were a bit extended in recent months and this pullback (back to the 50 DMA lines) is very healthy as it shakes out the weaker hands and restores the the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.
    Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
    Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!