Here’s a list of Healthy IPO’s for 2010!
1. We have come too far too fast. How many times do you remember seeing the SP500 soar 17% in 3 weeks (or know of it ever happening in history)? And the kicker- the move has been on below average volume! Moreover, if the market is to get back to 1370 (2011 highs) by year end- it will have to move 28% from Oct 4- Dec 31. Possible, but probable?
2. Nothing has changed- the “fundamental” mess that sent a slew of risk assets lower over the summer (i.e. US and EU debt issues, anemic economic growth, etc.)- are still unresolved… Everyone (right now) is focused on Greece. However, even if Greece is “handled” it does not address the broader issue: The other PIIGS are broke!
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Always Know Where The Leaders Are!
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3. Most bear markets last 18-24 months- not less than 1 day. The S&P 500 officially hit bear market territory on 10/4 (down 20% from its 2011 high) and that lasted for a tenth of a second because that was the exact low for the year (so far). Normally, the 18-24 months allow stocks to reset their bases and paves the way for new leadership to emerge.
Markets Are Counter-Intuitive In Nature If you were living under a rock for the past 7 months (and cut off from everything that has happened this year) and asked where do you think the market will be and only shown these headlines:I’m sure I’m missing a few but here are a few “big” headlines that…
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The Lovely: Stocks are getting weaker, not stronger. The Good: 1. Leading stocks are acting well 2. The Dallas Fed manufacturing survey rose to 5.0 which beat the Street’s forecast for 4.5 3. Case for the Fed to taper in September has weakened 4. The Richmond Fed Manufacturing index, which measures manufacturing activity in region, jumped to 14, easily beating estimates…
Note: The Following is an excerpt from an intra-week update sent to our clients earlier today. Market Update: Downdraft Continues… For Now If today’s lows hold, there is a very high likely hood that we bounce from here. If not, the downdraft will likely continue. As mentioned in earlier this week, it is time to play…