Week In Review: Stocks Advance As Investors Digest A Slew of Political, Economic & Earnings Data

Friday, March 26, 2010
Market Commentary:

For the week, the major averages ended higher as investors digested a slew of political, economic, and earnings data. The volume totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange were reported lower compared to Thursday’s totals which was an encouraging sign. Advancers led decliners by a 10-to-9 ratio on the NYSE and were about even on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 17 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, lower than the 58 issues that appeared on the prior session. New 52-week highs again overwhelmingly trumped new lows on both exchanges.

Monday & Tuesday’s Action:

On Monday, the major averages ended higher as the dollar fell after Congress passed the historic health care bill. Stocks continued rallying on Tuesday after stronger-than-expected data was released from the ailing housing market. All the major averages rallied to new recovery highs after the National Association of Realtors said existing US home sales slowed to 0.6% last month which topped estimates. February’s reading was also higher from January’s -7.2% decline.

Wednesday- Friday’s Action:

On Wednesday, the major averages, US Treasuries, the euro and a slew of commodities pulled back as the US dollar advanced after Portugal’s debt was downgraded by Fitch. Economic data was mixed: durable goods were up while new home sales fell. Durable goods topped estimates and rose for a third consecutive month which was a healthy sign for the economic recovery. Meanwhile, new home sales fell -2.2% to a 308,000 annual rate. Overseas, Europe received some healthy economic data: European services and manufacturing grew at the fastest pace since August 2007 and German business confidence rose.
Stocks erased earlier gains and closed near their lows on Thursday after the Labor Department said initial jobless claims fell to the lowest level in six weeks and Fed Chief, Ben Bernanke, testified on Capital Hill. On Friday, stocks ended mixed after tensions escalated between North and South Korea. Before Friday’s open, the Commerce Department revised Q4 GDP to +5.6%, down from +5.9%. In addition, the average company in the S&P 500 earned a profit in Q4 2009 which snapped a 9-month losing streak and was the first quarterly profit since the second quarter of 2007. It will be interesting to see if that healthy news continues in the first quarter of 2010.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

The fact that there has only been two distribution days since the follow-though-day (FTD) bodes well for this nascent rally. It is also a welcome sign to see the market continue to improve as investors digest the latest round of stronger than expected economic and earnings data. Remember that now that a new rally has been confirmed, the window is open to proactively be buying high quality breakouts meeting the investment system guidelines. Trade accordingly.

Professional Money Management Services – Free Portfolio Review!

Our skilled team of portfolio managers trade on what we see is happening, not what we think will happen. We remain fluid in our approach and only buy the best stocks when they are triggering proper technical buy signals. If you are not completely satisfied with the way your portfolio is being managed, Click here to email one of our portfolio managers. *Accounts over $250,000 please.  ** Serious inquires only, please.

Similar Posts

  • 2nd Half Of 2011 Begins!

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    The market is back in a correction after another failed follow-through day on Tuesday, June 21, 2011. Now that we are back in a correction, defense remains the best offense. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200 DMA lines and then their March lows. The next level of resistance for the major averages is their respective 50 DMA lines. Trade accordingly.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday, June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. On June 21, 2011 we changed our Market Outlook to a “Confirmed Rally” after the latest FTD was produced. Two days later, on Thursday, June 23, 2011, our outlook changed to “Market In A Correction”after the market sold off hard on renewed economic woes. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Stocks Close Above Resistance

    All the major averages traded above their respective two month downward trendlines and their 50 DMA lines on Thursday. However, it is a bit disconcerting to see volume recede as the market moves higher. This is the exact opposite of what one would like to see when the major averages rally. It is also important to note that the major averages are rallying up to an area where they encountered resistance several times in recent weeks and they are still below their longer term 200 DMA lines. That said, we can not argue with the tape and the bulls deserve the bullish benefit of the doubt until this “breakout” is negated. Trade accordingly.

  • Week-In-Review: Stocks End Mostly Higher Ahead of Earnings Season

    Stocks End Mixed To Mostly Higher Ahead of Earnings Season Stocks ended mixed to mostly higher on the first week of the third quarter. Stepping back, the market remains split: tech stocks remain under a little pressure while the Dow Industrials, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 all closed above their respective 50 DMA lines. The…

  • Stocks Follow-Through & Confirm A New Rally!

    Wednesday, July 7, 2010 Market Commentary: Stocks scored a follow-through day (FTD) on the fourth day of their latest rally attempt as volume, a critical component of institutional sponsorship, topped Tuesday’s levels. Advancers trumped decliners by over a 5-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and over a 3-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange. However, there were only 7 high-ranked…

  • May Begins: Global Markets Smacked

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure
    From our point of view, the market rally is under pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this stage. Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *