Stocks Close Below 200 DMA Line

Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Market Commentary:

The major averages negatively reversed for a second straight day as the dollar rallied which put pressure on the current rally. It was disconcerting to see both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the benchmark S&P 500 close below their respective 200 DMA lines only one week after the latest follow-through day (FTD) emerged. Volume totals were reported about even on the NYSE and slightly higher on the Nasdaq exchange compared to Monday’s levels which marked a distribution day and suggested large institutions are selling stocks. Decliners led advancers by over a 3-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 12 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, lower than the 50 issues that appeared on the prior session. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE but trailed on the Nasdaq exchange.

Existing Home Sales Fall & Oil Spill Drama Continues To Unfold:

Stocks opened higher but closed lower after the National Association of Realtors said sales of previously owned homes fell -2.2% last month and the euro fell for a second consecutive day. Elsewhere, the Obama administration said it would appeal a Louisiana judge’s verdict to overthrow the six-month ban on new deep-water drilling projects.

Market Action- Rally Under Pressure:

Technically, the fact that both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index closed below their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines suggests the market may retest its recent lows. Looking forward, the 50 DMA line should now act as resistance and this month’s lows should act as support. Since last Tuesday’s FTD, this column has steadily noted the importance of remaining very selective and disciplined because all of the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. This week’s sell off simply confirms that view. Trade accordingly.
Are You Ready For This NEW Confirmed Rally?
Inquire Today About Our Professional Money Management Services:
If your portfolio is greater than $250,000 and you would like a free portfolio review, 
Click Here to learn more about our money management services.   * Serious inquires only, please.

Similar Posts

  • Stocks Rally On A Busy Monday

    Looking at the market, the action remains healthy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, small cap Russell 2000 index, S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite are all trading near fresh 2009 highs. Leaving the NYSE composite just below its 2009 high. The fact that the market managed to rally last week and hit new highs in the face of disconcerting economic data and a stronger dollar is a very healthy sign. Ideally, one would like to see leadership and volume expand over the next few weeks as the major averages continue advancing.

  • Stocks Perched Below Key Levels Of Resistance

    Correction: Our Market Commentary was published prematurely on Thursday. Please disregard it. Sorry For the confusion. Friday, January 11, 2012 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks are back in a confirmed uptrend and continue to rally after the fiscal cliff was averted and congress decided to put the best interest of the country ahead of their petty bickering. Stocks…

  • Stocks Slide On Lackluster Economic Data

    Market Action- Confirmed Rally; Week 25 Begins
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines in November as this market proves resilient and simply refuses to go down. From our point of view, the market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.
    Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
    Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

  • Day 1 Of A New Rally Attempt

    Wednesday marked Day 1 of a new rally attempt which means that the earliest a possible follow-through day (FTD) could emerge will be Monday. However, if at anytime, Wednesday’s lows are breached then the day count will be reset. The technical action in the major averages and the latest round of economic data bodes poorly for the market and the global recovery. Currently, resistance for the the major averages are their 50 DMA lines, then their longer term 200 DMA lines while support remains July’s lows. It is also disconcerting to see the action in several leading stocks remain questionable as evidenced by the dearth of high-ranked leaders breaking out of sound bases. Monday’s negatively reversal coupled with Tuesday’s ugly distribution day effectively ended the latest rally attempt. This emphasizes the importance of remaining cautious until the rally is back in a confirmed uptrend. Put simply, we can expect this sideways/choppy action to continue until the market breaks out above resistance or below support. The first scenario will have bullish ramifications while the second will be clearly bearish. Trade accordingly.

  • Week 2: Stocks & Commodities Fall

    The 12-week rally ended on Tuesday, November 16, 2010 after the major averages plunged in heavy volume back down towards their respective 50 DMA lines. In recent weeks, we have repeatedly written about how the major averages were experiencing wide-and-loose action after a big move and made it very clear that that was not a healthy sign. At this point, we are looking for a new rally to be confirmed with a new follow-through day before taking any new positions. Caution and patience are key at this point. Trade accordingly.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *