Stocks Consolidate Monday's Large Move

Tuesday, September 14, 2010 
Stock Market Commentary

Stocks ended mixed after August’s retail sales topped estimates and gold surged to a fresh all-time high. Tuesday’s volume totals were reported about even on the NYSE and higher on the Nasdaq exchange compared to Monday’s levels. Decliners led advancers by a small margin on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs easily outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 69 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, lower than the 77 issues that appeared on the prior session.

Slower Growth in Europe Hurts Stocks:

Stocks in Europe were under pressure before Tuesday’s open after a report showed economic growth in the Eurozone was slowing. In the US, retail sales toppped estimates and rose by the largest pace in five months. The Commerce Department said total retail sales swelled by +0.4% following a revised +0.3% rise in July. This was the second consecutive monthly gain and bodes well for the economic recovery.  

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

Tuesday’s action was considered normal after Monday’s large move. Overall, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) remains healthy. Looking forward, the window is now open for disciplined investors to begin carefully buying high-ranked stocks again. It was encouraging to see a flurry of high-ranked leaders trigger fresh technical buy signals and break out of sound bases in recent sessions. All the major averages jumped above their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines today which is another encouraging sign. The next important level to watch for the major averages are their summer highs.  It is important to note that approximately 75% of FTDs lead to new sustained rallies, while 25% fail. In addition, every major rally in market history has begun with a FTD, but not every FTD leads to a new rally. Trade accordingly.

Tired Of The Same Results? Do Something New That Can Help YOU! 
Contact Us For A FREE Portfolio Review- Click here…

Similar Posts

  • Day 1 Of A New Rally Attempt

    Looking at the market, Wednesday marked Day 1 of a new rally attempt which means that as long as Wednesday’s lows are not breached, the earliest a possible follow-through day could emerge will be this Monday. However, if Wednesday’s lows are taken out, then the day count will be reset and the chances for a steeper correction increase markedly. It is also important to see how the major averages react to their respective 50 DMA lines. Until they all close above that important level the technical damage remaining on the charts is a concern. So far, the market’s reaction has been tepid at best to the latest round of economic and earnings data. Remember that the recent series of distribution days coupled with the deleterious action in the major averages suggests large institutions are aggressively selling stocks. Disciplined investors will now wait for a new follow-through day to be produced before resuming any buying efforts. Until then, patience is key.

  • Nasdaq 100 Surges To A Fresh 2011 High!

    Market Outlook- Confirmed Rally
    The last week of June’s strong action suggests the market is back in a confirmed rally. As our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the recent action suggests the rally is back in a confirmed rally as all the major averages are now flirting with fresh 2011 highs. Until all the major averages violate their respective 50 DMA lines on a closing basis, the market deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Stocks Drift Lower On Last Day Of Q3

    The action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been very strong. Looking forward, the window is open for disciplined investors to carefully buy high-ranked stocks, while many pundits are expecting that markets may consolidate following recent gains. It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend support (formerly resistance) last week. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Fall On Sour Economic Data

    The technical action in the major averages continues to weaken. Currently, resistance for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the benchmark S&P 500 index is their respective 200 DMA lines, while the Nasdaq composite faces resistance at its 50 DMA line. It is also disconcerting to see the action in several leading stocks remain questionable at best evidenced by the dearth of high ranked leaders breaking out of sound bases. Thursday’s action wiped out the gains enjoyed earlier in the week for the major averages which emphasizes the importance of remaining cautious until the rally is back in a confirmed uptrend. Put simply, we can expect this sideways/choppy action to continue until the market breaks out above resistance or below support (recent chart lows). The first scenario will have bullish ramifications while the second will be clearly bearish. Trade accordingly.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *