Stocks End Mixed

Thursday, February 24, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:
Stocks ended mixed on Thursday as geopolitical woes continued in the Middle East and both oil and gold negatively reversed (on a daily basis) after a large run. The current crisis in Libya remains in flux which is putting upward pressure on gold and oil and downward pressure on equities. The benchmark S&P 500 is up 100% from its March 2009 low, and still about -14% off its all time high from October 2007. On average, market internals remain healthy as the major averages pull back towards their respective 50 DMA lines to consolidate their recent move.

Jobless Claims, Durable Goods, & New Home Sales:

The Labor Department said weekly jobless claims fell by -22,000 to a seasonally adjusted 391,000 last week. The drop was seen as a net positive for the economy and the ailing jobs market. Durable goods orders topped estimates which also bodes well for the economic recovery. However, new home sales missed estimates which suggests the sluggish housing market has yet to recover. New home sales tanked -12.6% to a lower-than-expected annual rate of 284,000 units. Regional data was mixed but the South, where unit sales exceed all other regions combined, shows a -12.8% decline. The government is slated to release the latest reading on Q4 GDP before Friday’s open.
Market Action- Rally Under Pressure; Week 26
It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines recently which is a healthy sign. From our point of view, the market remains in rally-mode until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Day 1 Of A New Rally Attempt

    Looking at the market, Wednesday marked Day 1 of a new rally attempt which means that as long as Wednesday’s lows are not breached, the earliest a possible follow-through day could emerge will be this Monday. However, if Wednesday’s lows are taken out, then the day count will be reset and the chances for a steeper correction increase markedly. It is also important to see how the major averages react to their respective 50 DMA lines. Until they all close above that important level the technical damage remaining on the charts is a concern. So far, the market’s reaction has been tepid at best to the latest round of economic and earnings data. Remember that the recent series of distribution days coupled with the deleterious action in the major averages suggests large institutions are aggressively selling stocks. Disciplined investors will now wait for a new follow-through day to be produced before resuming any buying efforts. Until then, patience is key.

  • Stocks End Mixed Ahead Of Fed Meeting

    Monday, March 15, 2010 Market Commentary: The major averages ended mixed as concern spread that China and India may begin seeking measures to curb their robust economies as inflation picks up. Compared to the prior session, volume fell on the NYSE and Nasdaq exchange. Decliners led advancers by a 11-to-8 ratio on the NYSE and by a 16-to-11 ratio…

  • 7-Week Rally Under Pressure

    Stocks tanked on Friday after several high profile companies released their Q1 results and the SEC charged Goldman Sachs with fraud. Our primary concern before the SEC/GS news was released was the ominous action in shares of GOOG, ISRG and BAC after releasing their Q1 results. Longstanding readers of this column know how much we focus on how the market reacts to the news, not just the news itself. That said, the fact that these leaders reacted poorly to bullish quarterly results suggests that the much anticpated pullback may have begun. Then the SEC/GS news broke, which was the proverbial icing on the cake. At this point, the major averages have been steadily rallying since early February and a pullback of some sort should be expected. Since the March 1, 2010 follow-through day there have been 6 distribution days on the S&P 500 which is more than enough to put pressure on this 7-week rally. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Fall As Dollar Slides

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure
    From our point of view, the market rally is under pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this stage. Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines and resistance is their 2011 highs. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Want Better Results?
    You Need Better Ideas!
    We Know Markets!
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Stocks Encounter Stubborn Resistance

    Friday, July 16, 2010 Stock Market Commentary: Friday’s plunge negated the week’s gains as investors digested a slew of economic and earnings data. As expected, volume was reported higher than Thursday’s session on both exchanges due to options expirations. There were only 4 high-ranked companies from theCANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *