Stocks Quiet On Earnings & Housing Data

Tuesday, April 19, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks edged higher on Tuesday as they tried to recover from Monday’s shellacking. From our vantage point, the current rally which began on the Thursday, March 24, 2011 follow-through day (FTD) came under pressure at the beginning of April and officially ended on Monday, April 18, 2011, when all the major averages plunged below their respective 50 DMA lines in heavy trade. Now that the market is back in a correction, defense is paramount until a new FTD emerges.

Goldman Sachs & Housing Data Top Estimates

Before Tuesday’s open, investment powerhouse, Goldman Sachs (GS) reported Q1 results which topped the Street’s estimates. However, earnings were down -22% from the same period in 2010 while sales slumped by -5%. The stock opened higher higher but quickly reversed and traded lower as it continues falling further and further below its 50 & 200 day moving average lines. In addition, according to IBD, Goldman’s EPS rating has plunged to 13 (99 is the highest possible rating) while its relative strength rating has tanked to only 22 (99 is the highest possible rating) which indicates weakness, not strength.
In other news, housing starts rose in March but are still at deeply depressed levels. Housing starts rose +7.2% last month, following a monthly -18.5% decline in February. Housing stocks are among the worst performing industry groups as the broader housing market continues to suffer.

Market Action- Market In A Correction

From our point of view, the current rally which began with the Thursday, March 24, 2011 FTD officially ended on Monday, April 18, 2011 after all the popular indexes sliced below their respective 50 DMA lines. The market is now in a correction which reiterates the importance of playing strong defense until a new rally is confirmed. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

Want Better Results?

You Need Better Ideas!

We Know Markets!

Subscribe Today!

Similar Posts

  • Stocks Fall On Renewed EU Debt Woes

    Thursday marked Day 2 of a new rally attempt which means that the earliest a possible follow-through day (FTD) could emerge will be Monday. However, if at anytime, Wednesday’s lows (Day 1) are breached then the day count will be reset. The technical action in the major averages and the latest round of economic data bodes poorly for the market and the global recovery. Currently, resistance for the the major averages are their 50 DMA lines, then their longer term 200 DMA lines while support remains July’s lows. It is also disconcerting to see weakness in the financial group while action in leading stocks has been questionable as evidenced by the dearth of high-ranked leaders breaking out of sound bases. This emphasizes the importance of remaining cautious until the rally is back in a confirmed uptrend. Put simply, we can expect this sideways/choppy action to continue until the market breaks out above resistance or below support. The first scenario will have bullish ramifications while the second will be clearly bearish. Trade accordingly.

  • Week-In-Review: Stocks Finally Pullback, Now What?

    Stocks Finally Pullback, Now What? The market is finally pulling back to consolidate its very healthy and very strong advance. Remember, markets do not go up forever and it is perfectly normal (and healthy) to see the market pullback after a very strong rally to consolidate the move. Nice orderly pullbacks are healthy and allow…

  • Quiet Week on Wall Street

    Market Action-Confirmed Uptrend
    The market is back in a confirmed uptrend after a modest (and healthy) -6% correction from its post-recovery highs. We find it bullish to see the mid-cap S&P 400 index and the small cap Russell 2000 index both hit fresh all-time highs! In addition, the Dow Jones Industrial Average vaulted to a fresh post-recovery high and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite are just shy of fresh 2011 highs. In other news, a slew of other markets vaulted to fresh recovery highs most notably: crude oil, euro, gold, and silver which bodes well for the “risk on” trade and by extension U.S. equities. Finally, we are very happy to see a slew of high ranked stocks trigger fresh technical buy signals in recent weeks which suggests higher, not lower prices lie ahead. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Have you seen the “Wise Money Library”?
    Now, All In One Place, A Collection Of Strategies, Techniques and
    Resources That Professional Traders and Investors Use
    Have a Look: www.WiseMoneyLibrary.com

  • Week-In-Review: Another Record Setting Month On Wall Street

    Another Record Setting Month On Wall Street The market remains exceptionally strong as the bulls remain in clear control and stocks refuse to fall in a meaningful fashion. Every time the market hints at pulling back, almost immediately, the bulls show up (buy the dip crowd) and send stocks soaring. The two largest “down” days…

  • Nasdaq Retreats; Other Major Averages Advance

    Stocks remain strong as investors digested the latest round of economic data. The benchmark S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, NYSE composite, mid-cap S&P 400, small-cap Russell 2000 and small-cap S&P 600 indices all enjoyed fresh recovery closing highs! The current rally is in its 44th week (since the March 12, 2009 follow-through day) and on all accounts still looks very strong. In addition, most bull markets last for approximately 36 months, so the fact that we are beginning our 10th month suggests we have more room to go. December’s jobs report will likely set the stage for the next near term move for the major averages but until support is broken (50 DMA lines for the major averages), this rally deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt.