Stocks Fall As Rally Cools

Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks slid as investors digested the last two weeks of solid gains and patiently await Friday’s much anticipated non-farm payrolls report. The market is back in a confirmed uptrend and remains healthy as long as all the major averages continue trading above their respective 50 DMA lines and recent chart highs. The recent healthy action was in response to a very accommodative Fed, a series of stronger than expected Q1 results, and a host of solid economic data. Now that the market is back in a confirmed rally, odds favor higher, not lower, prices lie ahead.

Factory Orders Rise; Earnings Mixed To Strong:

On Tuesday, stocks slid as the latest rally cooled and investors digested the latest round of earnings and economic data. U.S. factory orders topped estimates in March as demand increased for machinery and computers which bodes well for the economic recovery and further business spending. The Commerce Department said factory orders rose +3%, a fifth consecutive increase, after a +0.7% gain in February. Meanwhile, the latest round of earnings data was mixed to slightly stronger which also bodes well for the ongoing recovery.

Market Outlook- Market In A Confirmed Rally

From our point of view, the market is back in “rally-mode” as all the major averages continue to trade above their respective 50 DMA lines and recent chart highs. However, we would be remiss not to note that a slew of  leading stocks suffered heavy distribution on Tuesday which is not ideal. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

Want Better Results?

You Need Better Ideas!

We Know Markets!

Learn How We Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Day 1 Of A New Rally Attempt!

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and important upward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged our clients and readers to be extremely cautious as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. We have received a lot of “thank you” emails for being “spot on” in our cautious approach. We are humbled by your presence and very thankful for your continued support. Looking forward, the next level of resistance for the major averages is their respective 50 DMA lines then their 2011 highs. The next level of support is their longer term 200 DMA lines. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

  • Stagflation Woes & Stronger Dollar Send Stocks Lower

    On Tuesday, each of the major averages pulled back from logical resistance levels as leading stocks were mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and benchmark S&P 500 index closed just below 10,500 and 1,115, their respective resistance levels. The Nasdaq composite closed just above 2200 which has served as an important level of resistance for the tech heavy index in recent months.

  • 1 Year Anniversary From The '09 Lows

    Looking at the market, since last Monday’s follow-through day (FTD), the market and a batch of leading stocks, steadily rallied which is a healthy sign. The fact that we have not seen any serious distribution days show up since Monday’s FTD bodes well for this nascent rally. It is also a welcome sign to see the market continue to improve as investors digest the latest round of stronger than expected economic and earnings data. Remember that now that a new rally has been confirmed, the window is open to start buying high quality breakouts. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Wait For Friday's Jobs Report

    Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally Week 19
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up in November and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. Put simply, stocks are strong. Trade accordingly. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

  • Week-In-Review: Stocks End Mostly Higher As Tax Cut Passes House

    What Is This “Dip” You Speak Of The market remains very strong. The fact that the latest pullback literally only lasted one week speaks volumes to how strong the bulls are right now. The big news last week came after the House passed the tax cut bill. Now, the bill goes to the Senate where…