Adam Sarhan MarketWatch Quote: U.S. stocks down a bit; Wall Street waits for Fed

Market WatchBy Kate Gibson, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks fell slightly on Wednesday after a two-day rally, with investors reluctant to make any big moves ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision later in the day.
“My expectation is we will sit in a sideways holding pattern until the Fed announcement,” said Randy Frederick, managing director of active trading and derivatives at Charles Schwab. “They’ll probably be the typical knee-jerk reactionwhen it happens, and if there’s something unexpected, it could go sharply in one direction and then immediately reverse in the other direction.”
But like most strategists, Frederick does not believe the monetary-policy decision from the Federal Open Market Committee or the news conference by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will signal any change.
“They try the Federal Open Mouth Policy; they try to talk in a hawkish manner but their actions will be dovish,” said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at BMO Private Bank.
The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA -0.12% declined 14.97 points, or less than 0.1%, to 15,303.26.
The S&P 500 index SPX -0.10% fell 1.63 points, or 0.1%, to 1,650.18, with telecommunications pacing declines and materials up the most, among its 10 major sectors.
Shares of FedEx Corp. FDX +2.55% rose 2.4% after the airfreight company reported a better-than-expected profit.
Adobe Systems Inc. ADBE +6.64% climbed 6.4% a day after the design-software maker reported second-quarter profit that beat expectations.
Tesla Motors Inc. TSLA +1.28% jumped 1.6%. The electric-car maker late Tuesdaysaid it was recalling some of its 2013 Model S cars due to a mounting defect involving rear seats.
Sprint Nextel Corp. S -3.14% declined 3% after Dish Network Corp. DISH +2.42%opted to not hike its bid for the wireless carrier.
The Nasdaq Composite COMP -0.22% lost 5.72 points, or 0.2%, to 3,476.44.
For every stock rising, nearly two fell on the New York Stock Exchange, where 246 million shares traded as of 1 p.m. Eastern.
Composite volume surpassed 1.4 billion.
Treasury prices fell, with the yield on the 10-year note 10_YEAR +0.96% used in setting mortgage rates and other consumer loans rising to 2.229%.
The U.S. dollar DXY -0.22% edged down against other currencies including the yenUSDJPY -0.11% .
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold prices GCQ3 +0.39% gained to $1,373.20 an ounce and crude oil CLN3 -0.11% declined four cents to $98.40 a barrel.

Fed factors

Wall Street had risen sharply both Monday and Tuesday on thinking the Fed would not signal any immediate plan for scaling back on its $85 billion in monthly bond purchases. Read: How to trade the Fed decision.

“All this talk about tapering is a little premature. The market knows this and that’s why we have been rallying for the past few days,” said Adam Sarhan, chief executive at Sarhan Capital.
That said, if Fed officials open the door to tapering on Wednesday, “markets could react poorly,” Sarhan added.
The FOMC resumed its two-day meeting on Wednesday, with a monetary-policy announcement due at 2 p.m. Eastern time. Bernanke is scheduled to start his news conference 30 minutes later. Read about seven charts that tell the Fed not to taper QE3
“The market is trying to position itself for a less-active Fed, and maybe a more normalized interest-rate environment,” said Frederick of the market’s volatile state, in display ever since Bernanke indicated in testimony to Congress four weeks ago that the central bank might begin scaling back its bond purchases should the economy show sustainable improvement.

Kate Gibson is a reporter for MarketWatch, based in New York.
 

Similar Posts

  • Stocks Bounce; Volatility Continues!

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure:
    The current rally is under pressure due to the recent severe sell off that sent the SPX below 1230 and erased half of October’s gains. This means that caution is king until the bulls regain control of this market. In addition, it is important to note that the bulls failed to send the major averages above their respective 200 DMA lines and the neckline of their ominous head-and-shoulders top pattern (1250) in late October. We have to expect this sloppy, wide and loose action to continue until that level is repaired and higher prices follow. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stop Chasing Stocks,
    Let Them Chase You!
    Join FindLeadingStocks.com Today!

  • Day 3 Of A New Rally Attempt; Stocks Rally

    Looking at the market, Tuesday marked Day 3 of a new rally attempt which means that as long as last Friday’s lows are not breached this rally attempt remains intact. In addition, the earliest a possible follow-through day (FTD) could emerge will be this Wednesday if the major averages rally at least +1.7% on higher volume than the prior session. However, if Friday’s lows are breached then the day count will be reset and a steeper correction may unfold.

  • Weak Economic Data Drags Stocks Lower

    Monday marked Day 2 of a new rally attempt which means the earliest a possible follow-through day (FTD) could emerge will be Wednesday. However, if at anytime, Friday’s lows (Day 1) are breached then the day count will be reset. The technical action in the major averages has recently been weak while the latest round of economic data has provided a poor outlook for the market and the global recovery. Currently, resistance for the the major averages are their 50-day moving average (DMA) lines, then their longer-term 200 DMA lines while support remains July’s lows. It is also disconcerting to see weakness in the financial group. Meanwhile, the action in leading stocks and fact that some high-ranked leaders are breaking out of sound bases can be considered somewhat encouraging. Still there is importance in remaining cautious until the major averages are back in a confirmed uptrend. Put simply, we can expect this sideways/choppy action to continue until the market breaks out above resistance or below support. The first scenario will have bullish ramifications while the second will be clearly bearish. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Flirting With Support

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and important upward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged our clients and readers to be extremely cautious as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off. Looking forward, the next level of resistance for the major averages is their recent lows (i.e. 1294 in the S&P 500) and then their respective 50 DMA lines. The next level of support is their longer term 200 DMA lines and then their March 2011 lows.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. We have received a lot of “thank you” emails for being “spot on” in our cautious approach. We are humbled by your presence and very thankful for your continued support. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Another Volatile Session On Wall St As Investors Digest Awful Housing Data & Latest Fed Meeting

    Technically, the fact that both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index closed below their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines suggests the market may retest its recent lows. Looking forward, the 50 DMA line should now act as resistance and this month’s lows should act as support. Since the June 15, 2010 follow-through day (FTD), this column has steadily noted the importance of remaining very selective and disciplined because all of the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. This week’s sell off simply confirms that view. Trade accordingly