Busy News Day; Quiet Reaction

Thursday, January 13, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

The major averages were quiet on a rather busy news day. Heretofore, market internals remain healthy evidenced by broad leadership, favorable volume patterns, a rising advance/decline line, and a healthy number of new highs on both major exchanges.

Bank of England & ECB Hold Rates Steady, Spain’s Debt Sells, U.S. Economic Data:

On Thursday, the Bank of England (BOE) & the European Central Bank  (ECB) held rates steady at record lows and reaffirmed their stimulus measures as the global economy continues to recover. The BOE said it is concerned that inflation is above the government’s +3% limit as it sits at a six-month high. Spain’s debt auction went well which helped allay concerns that the 10th largest economy will need to be bailed out in the near future. In The U.S, the producer price index (PPI)  rose +1.1% from November and topped the +0.8% estimate. Core prices, which exclude food and energy, rose +0.2% which matched estimates. Jobless claims rose to their highest level since October. Elsewhere, the U.S. trade deficit unexpectedly contracted in November to the lowest level in 10 months. The decline was due to faster growth in overseas markets coupled with a weak dollar which boosted demand for U.S. goods and services. The consumer price index, advance retail sales, consumer confidence, and industrial production are all slated to be released on Friday.

Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally Week 20

It was encouraging to see the bulls show up in November and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. Put simply, stocks are strong. Trade accordingly. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Lousy Jobs Report Weighs On Stocks

    Market Outlook- Market In A Confirmed Uptrend:
    The last week of June’s strong action suggests the market is back in a confirmed rally. As our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the action remains bullish until the major averages and leading stocks violate their respective 50 DMA lines. Until then, the market deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt. Barring some unforeseen event, investors will likely be focusing on the jobs market this week and then spend the rest of the month focusing on the latest round of economic and Q2 earnings data. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • 50 DMA Line Is Support

    Market Action- Rally Under Pressure; Week 26 Ends
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines recently which is a healthy sign. From our point of view, the market remains in rally-mode until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks were a bit extended in recent months and this pullback (back to the 50 DMA lines) is very healthy as it shakes out the weaker hands and restores the the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.
    Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
    Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

  • Stocks Bounce Off Support

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    The market is back in a correction after another failed follow-through day on Tuesday, June 21, 2011. Now that we are back in a correction, defense remains the best offense. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200 DMA lines and then their March lows. The next level of resistance for the major averages is their respective 50 DMA lines. Trade accordingly.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday, June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. On June 21, 2011 we changed our Market Outlook to a “Confirmed Rally” after the latest FTD was produced. Two days later, on Thursday, June 23, 2011, our outlook changed to “Market In A Correction” after the market sold off hard on renewed economic woes. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *