16 Listening Questions
16 Listening Questions
16 Listening Questions
Posted by ddshort.com March 16, 2011Let’s review today’s volatility in the S&P 500. The first chart features an overlay of the index and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) since 2007. Today the VIX rose to 29.34, a gain of 20.6% over the previous close. Click for a larger image As the chart above illustrates, the…
The following charts were posted by @Ritholtz. Fabulous set of charts looking at inflation adjusted S&P composite during major secular bear markets, via The Chart Store: Secular Bear Markets Here is the current crash and snapback: 2007-09 Bear Market Prior bear markets (WWI, great Depression, 1970s) after the jump 1906 – 1921…
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The major averages are tracing out an ominous technical pattern known as a “negative (outside) reversal day” after encountering resistance near their prior chart highs.
As of 2:45pm EST on Thursday, July 22, 2010 all the major averages are trading above their respective two month downward trendlines and their 50 DMA lines. However, it is a bit disconcerting to see volume recede as the market moves higher. This is the exact opposite of what one would like to see when the major averages rally above resistance. It is also important to note that the major averages are rallying up to an area where they encountered resistance several times in recent weeks and they are still below their longer term 200 DMA lines. That said, we can not argue with the tape and the bulls deserve the bullish benefit of the doubt until this “breakout” is negated. Trade accordingly.
The major averages spent the first two weeks of July rallying from extremely oversold levels before encountering stubborn resistance near their moving averages and downward trendlines. We have seen stocks fail at resistance multiple times since the two month downtrend began in late April. The major averages are at a critical inflection point: either break above resistance or rollover and begin another downtrend.
S&P 500: Dangerous Black Swan Chart Formation
The Dow Jones Industrial Average & The Benchmark S&P 500 index and Nasdaq composite (not shown) are currently retesting their 2010 lows. As long as these lows hold, the current trading range remains intact. However, if the lows are breached, odds favor lower prices will follow. In addition, it is important to note that their 50 DMA lines are about to undercut their longer term 200 DMA lines which, as we now know, is not a “healthy” sign. It is also worrisome to see that other capital markets have hit new 2010 lows which suggests the bears are getting stronger (i.e. EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, and EUR/CHF are already at fresh 2010 lows).