Bulls Celebrate March '09 Bottom

Bulls Celebrate March '09 Bottom

Since last the March 1, FTD the market and a batch of leading stocks steadily rallied. The fact that we have not seen any serious distribution days since the FTD bodes well for this nascent rally. It is also a welcome sign to see the market continue to improve as investors digest the latest round of stronger than expected economic and earnings data. Remember that now that a new rally has been confirmed, the window is open to start buying high quality breakouts. Trade accordingly.

1 Year Anniversary From The '09 Lows

1 Year Anniversary From The '09 Lows

Looking at the market, since last Monday’s follow-through day (FTD), the market and a batch of leading stocks, steadily rallied which is a healthy sign. The fact that we have not seen any serious distribution days show up since Monday’s FTD bodes well for this nascent rally. It is also a welcome sign to see the market continue to improve as investors digest the latest round of stronger than expected economic and earnings data. Remember that now that a new rally has been confirmed, the window is open to start buying high quality breakouts. Trade accordingly.

Investors Digest A Flurry of Economic Data

Investors Digest A Flurry of Economic Data

Thursday, March 4, 2010 Market Commentary: Stocks traded between positive and negative territory and closed higher as investors digested the latest round of economic data. Volume, a critical gauge of institutional demand, was reported lower than the prior session on the Nasdaq exchange and on the NYSE. Advancers led decliners by a 11-to-8 ratio on the NYSE…

Healthy Economic Data Helps Stocks

Healthy Economic Data Helps Stocks

Looking at the market, the latest rally attempt was confirmed when a “cautious follow-through day” was produced by the Nasdaq Composite on Monday, March 1. Weighing into the decision to label the day a follow-through-day (FTD) was the strong action in leading stocks along with a great expansion noted in the new highs list. That action suggests that there is a healthy crop of strong stocks capable of fueling a substantial rally higher for the major averages. We will be looking out for any near-term distribution days (high volume declines) which would hurt the chances for this nascent rally. Until then, the bulls deserve the bullish benefit of the doubt as the major averages continue edging higher.
It is a welcome sign to see the market continue to improve as investors digest the latest round of stronger than expected economic and earnings data. Remember that now that a new rally has been confirmed, the window is open to start buying high quality breakouts. Trade accordingly.

Cautious Follow-Through Day Confirms New Rally

Cautious Follow-Through Day Confirms New Rally

Cautious Follow-Through Day Confirms New Rally.Looking at the market, Monday, Day 16 of the latest rally attempt, confirmed the latest rally attempt when a “cautious follow-through day” was produced by the Nasdaq composite. This means that we will now be looking for any distribution days (high volume declines) to emerge to gauge the strength of this nascent rally. So far, it is a much welcomed sign to see the market continue to improve as investors digest the latest round of stronger than expected economic and earnings data. Remember that now that a new rally has been confirmed the window is now open to start buying high quality breakouts. Trade accordingly.

Day 16: Still Waiting For A Follow-Through Day

Day 16: Still Waiting For A Follow-Through Day

Monday, March 1, 2010 Market Commentary: Stocks and the dollar rose after the latest round of M&A news was announced. Monday marked Day 16 of the current rally attempt but the market failed to produce a proper follow-through day because the gains fell short of the +1.7% guideline. Volume, a critical gauge of institutional demand, was…

Day 15: Stocks Close Below Resistance

Day 15: Stocks Close Below Resistance

Friday, February 26, 2010 Market Commentary: Stocks closed with modest gains on Friday which marked the 15th day of the current rally attempt. Volume, a critical gauge of institutional demand, was mixed compared to Thursday’s levels; higher on the Nasdaq exchange and lower on the NYSE. Advancers led decliners by a 12-to-17 ratio on the NYSE but trailed by 13-to-14 rato on…

Day 14: Stocks Close Below Resistance

Day 14: Stocks Close Below Resistance

Thursday, February 25, 2010 Market Commentary: Stocks closed lower but off their intraday lows after the US dollar pulled back as concern eased over tepid economic data and the fate of the EU. Volume, a critical gauge of institutional demand, was higher than Wednesday’s totals which suggested large institutions were selling stocks. Decliners led advancers by a 10-to-9 ratio…

Day 13: Stocks Rally On Lighter Volume

Day 13: Stocks Rally On Lighter Volume

Wednesday, February 24, 2010 Market Commentary: The major averages rallied on the 13th day of the current rally attempt however volume, a critical gauge of institutional demand, fell compared to Tuesday’s totals. The lighter volume behind today’s advance signals large institutions are not aggressively buying stocks. Advancers led decliners by nearly a 3-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by nearly…

Day 12: Stocks Fall On Heavy Volume

Day 12: Stocks Fall On Heavy Volume

Looking at the market, Tuesday marked Day 12 of a new rally attempt which means that as long as the February 5th lows are not breached the window remains open for a new follow-through day (FTD) to emerge. A new follow-through day will confirm the current rally attempt and will be produced when one of the major averages rallies at least +1.7% on higher volume than the prior session as a new batch of leaders break out of fresh bases. However, if the February 5, 2010 lows are breached then the day count will be reset and a steeper correction may unfold. So far, the market’s reaction has been tepid at best to the latest round of economic and earnings data which remains a concern. Remember that the market remains in a correction until a new new follow-through day emerges. Until then, patience is paramount.