Dow & Nasdaq Snap A 7-Day Winning Streak; Nasdaq & SP500 Close Below Resistance

Thursday, July 15, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

US stocks shrugged off earlier weakness and closed near their intraday highs as investors digested a flurry of headlines. Volume was reported mixed compared to Wednesday’s session; higher on the NYSE and lower on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 16 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, lower than the 28 issues that appeared on the prior session. Decliners trailed advancers by approximately an 18-to-19 ratio on the NYSE but led by a 2-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs solidly outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE but trailed on the Nasdaq exchange.

Investors Digest A Slew of Economic, Earnings & Political Data:

Investor’s digested a slew of data on Thursday: JP Morgan (JPM +0.27%) and Google (GOOG +0.55%) reported their latest quarterly result, weekly jobless claims and producer prices fell, Goldman Sachs (GS +4.43%) settled with the SEC for $550 million, BP (BP +7.57%) plugged the broken well, the Senate sent President Obama the largest financial regulatory bill since the Great Depression, and the latest read on the manufacturing industry was dismal. However, it was somewhat encouraging to see the market shrug off earlier weakness and close near its intraday highs even though the Nasdaq composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapped a 7-day winning streak. It is important to note that both the US dollar and the major averages ended lower on Thursday (in the recent past they tend to move in opposite directions).

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

Looking forward, the window remains open for disciplined investors to carefully buy high-ranked stocks. Since the current rally began on July 1, the major averages have rallied on suspiciously light volume but has improved in recent sessions.  It is ideal to see volume expand as the major averages break above resistance and see a new batch of high ranked leaders trigger fresh technical buy signals.  These latest improvements are helping to confirm this nascent rally and provide a reassurance that odds are more favorable for successful investing using the fact-based system.

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    Market Outlook- In A Correction:
    The major U.S. averages are still in a “correction” as they continue to bounce towards resistance of their 2-month base. The latest follow-through day (FTD) which began on August 23, 2011 has officially ended which means we will continue “counting” days before a new rally can be confirmed. In addition, it is important to note that the bulls scored a victory since many of the major averages closed above their downward sloping 50 DMA lines for the first time since late July! The next stop is September’s highs and then their 200 DMA lines. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
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    On Tap This Week:
    MONDAY: Industrial production, Fed’s Lacker and Evans speak; Earnings from IBM
    TUESDAY: PPI, treasury international capital, housing market index, Bernanke speaks; Earnings from BofA, Coca-Cola, Goldman Sachs, J&J, Apple, Intel, CSX and Yahoo
    WEDNESDAY: Weekly mortgage apps, CPI, housing starts, Fed’s Rosengren speaks, oil inventories, Fed’s Beige Book; Earnings from Morgan Stanley, Travelers, United Tech, AmEx, Ebay, Western Digital
    THURSDAY: Jobless claims, existing home sales, Philadelphia Fed survey, leading indicators, Fed’s Bullard and Kocherlakota speak, NewsCorp investor day; Earnings from AT&T, Eli Lilly, Nokia, AutoNation, Microsoft, Capital One, Chipotle and SanDisk
    FRIDAY: Fed’s Kocherlakota speaks, 2011 Dodd-Frank Rulemaking Deadline; Earnings from GE, McDonald’s, Verizon, Honeywell and Schlumberger
    Source: CNBC.com

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