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The Last Economic Frontier
I look at capital markets (stocks, bonds, currencies, and commodities) as the last economic frontier. For the purpose of this article, I’ll focus on Wall Street but the same concepts apply to other markets. It is the one place on earth where anyone can make (or loss) a fortune- regardless of their background, skill-set, formal…
Good, Bad & The Lovely For The Week
The Lovely: Fed Meets Next Week and a lot of open questions: Taper? Not Yet? How Much? Good: Market and leading stocks acting well China said its exports rose by 7.2% in August, topping estimates for a 6% gain. Read here US consumer credit growth rose at a 4.4% annual rate in July expanding by $10.4…
Death Cross: Not A Good Day For The So-Called "Risk" Trade
The Dow Jones Industrial Average & The Benchmark S&P 500 index and Nasdaq composite (not shown) are currently retesting their 2010 lows. As long as these lows hold, the current trading range remains intact. However, if the lows are breached, odds favor lower prices will follow. In addition, it is important to note that their 50 DMA lines are about to undercut their longer term 200 DMA lines which, as we now know, is not a “healthy” sign. It is also worrisome to see that other capital markets have hit new 2010 lows which suggests the bears are getting stronger (i.e. EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, and EUR/CHF are already at fresh 2010 lows).
Valuations Are Still Attractive Even As The Market Melts Up
The Stock Market Has More Room To Run A quick note on valuations…Even with the current meltup, the SPX’s P/E ratio is around 19, which is lower than its March 2000 top (~29) and its Oct 2007 top (~22). So from a pure valuation standpoint (not to mention all the easy money injected into the system from global…
Visualizing the Fed's balance sheet Dec 2013
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The Future of The Digital Media Business
“It Is Not the Strongest of the Species that Survives But the Most Adaptable.” ― Charles Darwin Digital Media 1.0 Is Dead: Earlier today, Todd Harrison, of MinyanVille Fame, penned a great piece titled “Why I’m Exiting The Digital Media Business.” Once again he is way ahead of his time and has his finger right on the…
