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1. We have come too far too fast. How many times do you remember seeing the SP500 soar 17% in 3 weeks (or know of it ever happening in history)? And the kicker- the move has been on below average volume! Moreover, if the market is to get back to 1370 (2011 highs) by year end- it will have to move 28% from Oct 4- Dec 31. Possible, but probable?
2. Nothing has changed- the “fundamental” mess that sent a slew of risk assets lower over the summer (i.e. US and EU debt issues, anemic economic growth, etc.)- are still unresolved… Everyone (right now) is focused on Greece. However, even if Greece is “handled” it does not address the broader issue: The other PIIGS are broke!
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3. Most bear markets last 18-24 months- not less than 1 day. The S&P 500 officially hit bear market territory on 10/4 (down 20% from its 2011 high) and that lasted for a tenth of a second because that was the exact low for the year (so far). Normally, the 18-24 months allow stocks to reset their bases and paves the way for new leadership to emerge.
The first decade of the new millennium will go down in history as a decade plagued with a series of booms and busts. Over the past 10 years, there were five major bubbles that captured the world’s attention: Tech/Dot-com (98-00), Housing/Credit (00-07), Emerging markets 00-07, Energy (crude oil) (02-08), and Gold (00-09). After all was said and done, US stocks actually lost ground and the major indices ended lower over the past 10 years for the first time since the 1930’s.
The fact that there have only been a few distribution days (and not very damaging ones, technically) since the follow-though-day (FTD) bodes well for the current rally. It is also a welcome sign to see the market continue to improve as investors digest the latest round of stronger than expected economic and earnings data. Remember that now that a new rally has been confirmed, the window is open to proactively be buying high quality breakouts meeting the investment system guidelines. Trade accordingly. Never argue with the tape, and always keep your losses small
Several Strong Setups: One thing I look for each week is strong setups. Anyone can be a great Monday morning QB and say – look at how strong XYZ is AFTER it broke out. For me, I find the real value is finding the gems before everyone else. Advanced Entry/Exit Points In Leading Stocks &…
The Following Is An Excerpt From A FindLeadingStocks.com Intra-Week Update: Save 10% Instantly! Enter Coupon Code: WIN FLS Update: 8.14.14 The Bounce Continues….Will It Last? Approaching Resistance The market continues bouncing and is approaching a critical area of resistance. It will be important to see if the S&P 500 (SPX) and the Dow Jones Industrial…
Where’s the Data? & Would You Place This Trade? We know anything is possible but based on the “data” we don’t see a powerful reason for the Fed to raise rates when they meet on Thursday and here are 10 reasons why: First and foremost – The Fed is data dependent – Where’s the “data” that…