By Adam Sarhan, SarhanCapital
Market Looks Toppy and A Closer Look At The Dow
The market is getting weaker, not stronger. We are continuing to see more and more deterioration occurring as the major indices look toppy up here. The tape continues to break down. The bull market is over 6.5 years old and that is considered an aging bull by normal historical measures. Notwithstanding more easy money from the Fed and other central banks, a break of support will add to the misery.
A Look At The Dow
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is comprised of 30 blue chip stocks. The Dow is down for the year and continues to under-perform its peers. The reason is simple: Most stocks in the Dow are not acting well and more continue to roll over. Right now, there are only 7 strong acting stocks in the Dow and 23 that are either range bound or are in a clear downtrend. That’s not a bullish equation.
There Are Only 7 stocks in the Dow That Are In Good Technical Shape
- HD- Remains perched below 52-week highs
- JPM – Needs to breakout
- MCD – At the higher end of range- needs to breakout above $101.10
- NKE – Extended remains a very strong stock
- PFE – Negating latest breakout but remains strong on a relative basis
- UNH – Looks good as it trades just below resistance of its multi-month trading range
- V- Very strong and remains extended
23 Stocks Are Either Range Bound Or Not Acting Well:
The writing is on the wall for a classic topping process. If support breaks, odds favor lower prices will follow. Conversely, if the bulls show up (enter bullish catalyst that emerges) we are only a few percentage points below record highs and could easily breakout of this year-long trading range. We remain open for any outcome but the evidence is suggesting the market is getting weaker, not stronger.