Stocks End Relatively Flat In Final Week of August




The technical action in the major averages has deteriorated significantly. Not all of the major averages managed to rally above their recent chart highs, and all have now sliced back below their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines. It is also worrisome to see the number of distribution days pile up in recent weeks which puts pressure on the current five-week rally. Whenever a market rally becomes under pressure (as it is now), it is usually wise to err on the side of caution and adopt a strong defensive stance until the bulls regain control. Trade accordingly.

The market remains resilient as it simply refuses to go down. Longstanding readers of this column know that we prefer to focus more on how the market reacts to the news than the news itself. That said, the bears had all the possible ammunition to send stocks plunging on Tuesday and the fact that they did not (or could not), speaks volumes. In addition, the market remains strong since it has barely “corrected” and continues consolidating its recent move just below resistance. The bulls deserve the bullish benefit of the doubt until one of the major averages trades, and closes, below its respective 50 day moving average line.

STOCK MARKET COMMENTARY: FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 15, 2013 Stocks rallied for a sixth consecutive week as the major averages continue to march higher. As we have mentioned several times recently, in the short-term the market is extended and a light volume pullback would do wonders to restore the health of this rally. The fact that the…

Friday, March 15, 2013 Stock Market Commentary: Not much changed last week as the riskon trade is alive and well as the major averages continue racing higher. The last pullback was shallow in size and scope. The S&P 500 pulled back 2.9% after the minutes from the Fed’s last meeting hinted that QE might end sooner than originally expected….

Wednesday, June 29, 2011 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks edged higher as investors digested the latest round of economic data and the Greek government voted “yes” to the much anticipated austerity measures. The major averages bounced nicely during the first half of this week but volume, an important indicator of institutional sponsorship, declined which is not ideal. Normally,…

Stocks Finally Pullback It was an ugly week on Wall Street as the bears returned from a short six week hiatus. Stocks fell hard last week, erased the last three weeks worth of gains, fell over 3.5%, and snapped a 6-week win streak. It was the largest weekly decline for stocks since August and the action suggests the…