Stocks Get Smacked On Lackluster Economic Data

Thursday, June 24, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

The major averages got smacked on Thursday sending the benchmark S&P 500 Index to its longest losing streak in seven weeks, dragged lower by the ailing  financial sector and the latest round of tepid economic data. Volume totals were reported higher on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange compared to Wednesday’s levels which marked the latest distribution day and suggests large institutions are aggressively selling stocks. Decliners trumped advancers on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were only 2 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, barely higher than the 1 issue that appeared on the prior session. Leadership has evaporated, and without a healthy crop of leaders hitting new highs it is hard for the major averages to sustain a rally.  New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE but trailed by a large margin on the Nasdaq exchange.

Lackluster Economic Data Rocks The Market:

Before Thursday’s opening bell, two separate government reports showed unemployment claims fell from a two-month high while durable-goods orders excluding transportation rose slightly. The Labor Department said weekly jobless claims (i.e. the number of Americans applying for jobless benefits) slid by -19,000 to 457,000 in the week ended June 19. Elsewhere, the Commerce Department said durable goods, goods meant to last at least three years, excluding autos and aircraft, rose in May for the third time since February 2010. However, the overall reading was down -1.1%. The fact that the major averages sold off on the news suggests investors were not pleased with the results. After the close, both Oracle (ORCL) and Research In Motion (RIMM) posted their latest quarterly results which sent ORCL higher and RIMM lower in after hours trade.

Market Action- Rally Under Pressure:

Technically, the fact that both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index continue falling after closing below their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines earlier this week suggests the market may retest its recent lows. Looking forward, the 50 DMA line may act as stubborn resistance and this month’s lows should act as support. Since the June 15, 2010 follow-through day (FTD), this column has steadily noted the importance of remaining very selective and disciplined because all of the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. This week’s sell-off simply confirms that view. Trade accordingly.
Are You Ready For A Change?
Inquire Today About Our Professional Money Management Services:
If your portfolio is greater than $250,000 and you would like a free portfolio review, 
Click Here to learn more about our money management services.   * Serious inquires only, please.

Similar Posts

  • Quiet Day On Wall Street

    Market Action- Market In A Correction; 28-Week Rally Ends
    All the major averages sliced below their respective 50 DMA lines on Thursday, March 10, 2011. Thursday, March 17, 2011 marked day 1 of a new rally attempt which means that the earliest a possible follow-through day (FTD) could emerge would be Tuesday, as long as Thursday’s lows are not breached. That said, the window is now open for a new FTD to emerge which will confirm the current rally attempt. However, if Thursday’s lows are breached, then the day count will be reset and odds will favor lower prices, not higher, will follow. It is important to note that the recent ominous action reiterates the importance of raising cash and playing strong defense until a new FTD emerges. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Don’t Miss Out!
    Have You Seen How Our New Site Can Help You!
    Visit: www.SarhanCapital.com Today!

  • Stocks Rally As USD Falls

    Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally Week 16
    It is encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the 50 DMA lines for the major averages. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. Put simply, stocks are strong. Trade accordingly. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

  • Stocks Rally On E.U. Optimism

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure:
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when several distribution days emerge or August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

  • Stocks Tank on EU Downgrades & Goldman Testimony

    Tuesday, April 27, 2010 Market Commentary It is important to note that the major averages have been steadily rallying since early February and a pullback of some sort should be expected. Tuesday marked the latest distribution day since the rally was confirmed on the March 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD). According to the paper, there are 7 distribution days for the NYSE, 6 for the S&P 500, 5 for the Dow, and 2 for the Nasdaq. This puts subtle pressure on this 9-week rally.

  • Stocks Snap A 4 Week Losing Streak- 2.12.10

    Friday, February 12, 2010 Market Commentary: The major averages snapped a four week losing streak after the EU said it will help Greece with its ballooning budget deficits. Stocks closed lower on Monday after concern spread that several European countries may default on their debt. Greece, Spain and Portugal are the three primary suspects for the latest sovereign debt crisis.  Monday- Friday Review:

  • Week 2: Stocks & Commodities Fall

    The 12-week rally ended on Tuesday, November 16, 2010 after the major averages plunged in heavy volume back down towards their respective 50 DMA lines. In recent weeks, we have repeatedly written about how the major averages were experiencing wide-and-loose action after a big move and made it very clear that that was not a healthy sign. At this point, we are looking for a new rally to be confirmed with a new follow-through day before taking any new positions. Caution and patience are key at this point. Trade accordingly.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *