Stocks Pullback After Monday's Strong Open

Tuesday, January 4, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

The major US averages rallied smartly on Monday and hit new recovery highs after spending a few weeks in a tight trading range. Heretofore, market internals remain healthy evidenced by broad leadership, favorable volume patterns, a rising advance/decline line, and a healthy number of new highs on both major exchanges.

Economic Data, Fed Minutes, & Geo Political Woes Dominate The Headlines:

Stocks slid on Tuesday after a Pakistani Governor was shot by his bodyguard and US factories unexpectedly rose in November. US factory orders rose thanks in part to solid gains for capital equipment and strong exports. The Commerce Department said factory orders rose + 0.7% which easily beat the Street’s estimate for a -0.1% decline. The report also showed that orders for capital goods rose +2.6%. The Fed released the minutes of their last meeting which supported QE II and left the door open for additional economic stimulus. Overseas, A prominent Pakistani politician from the ruling People’s Party was assassination by his bodyguard. The politician recently spoke out against the country’s controversial blasphemy laws which is a clearly a controversial and sensitive topic.
Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally Week 19
It is encouraging to see the bulls show up in November and defend the 50 DMA lines for the major averages. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. Put simply, stocks are strong. Trade accordingly. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Week-In-Review: Stocks Bounce As Investors Wait For A Tax Cut

    Stocks Bounce As Bulls Quell Bearish Pressure- For Now Stocks rallied last week after the narrative in D.C. shifted toward a tax cut. Technically, as long as Monday’s low holds, this appears to be another short-term and shallow pullback. The major indices are tracing out a new early entry (downward trendline) and a break above…

  • Flight To Safety; Stocks & Commodities Plunge As Dollar Soars!

    The market is currently in a correction which, according to historical precedent, suggests 3 out of 4 stocks will follow the market lower until a new follow-through day emerges. That said, taking the appropriate action on a case-by-case basis with your stocks prompts investors to raise cash when any holdings start getting in trouble. It is also important to note that the major averages have experienced multiple “corrections” since the March 2009 lows and each one has been mild at best (less than a -10% decline from the recent high). Therefore, it will be very interesting to see how low this correction goes before the bulls show up and defend support. Additionally, it is important to note that the market can go much lower (or higher) than anyone thinks; so it is of the utmost importance to filter out the “noise” and carefully analyze price and volume action of the major average for the best read on the health of the market. It will be very interesting to see how the market reacts to Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report slated to be released 8:30am EST.

  • Busy Week On Wall Street; Stocks Rally

    Market Action- Confirmed Rally:
    Looking forward, the window is now open for disciplined investors to begin carefully buying high-ranked stocks again. It was encouraging to see a flurry of high-ranked leaders trigger fresh technical buy signals and break out of sound bases. The next important level to watch for the major averages are their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines. It is important to note that approximately 75% of FTDs lead to new sustained rallies, while 25% fail. In addition, every major rally in market history has begun with a FTD, but not every FTD leads to a new rally. Trade accordingly.

  • Day 2: Another Late Day Rally Lifts Stocks

    Market Outlook- In A Correction:
    The major U.S. averages are back in a “correction” as they continue to flirt and in some cases hit fresh 2011 lows. Allow us to be clear: If all the major averages break below their 2011 lows, then we will likely see another leg down. Please, trade accordingly! Several high ranked leaders violated their respective 50 DMA lines in late September which bodes poorly for the bulls and suggests the bears are getting stronger. The latest follow-through day (FTD) which began on August 23, 2011 has officially ended which means we will begin “counting” days before a new rally can be confirmed. In addition, it is important to note that the bears remain in control of this market until the major averages trade above their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 & 200 DMA lines). Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. . If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Save Over 50%!
    Limited-Time Offer!
    www.FindLeadingStocks.com
    Coming Up This Week:

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *