Stocks Rally On Apple's Earnings

Please Note: After Nearly 10 Years of writing our daily stock market commentary, due to time constraints, this will become a weekly note-
Starting May 1, 2012.
We would like to thank you for your continued support and patronage! 

Nasdaq Back Above 50 DMA Line
Nasdaq Back Above 50 DMA Line

Wednesday, April 25, 2012
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and a slew of other “risk assets” bounced on Wednesday after Apple smashed estimates. As earnings and economic data continues to be released in droves, it is paramount that we not only pay attention to the actual numbers but how the stocks (and major averages) react to the numbers. This allows us to see how the market participants are “voting” and helps us filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: price action. Since the beginning of April, the action has been less than stellar. We find it somewhat encouraging to see all the major averages jump back above their respective 50 DMA lines in the wake of Apple’s blow-out quarter.

Apple’s Earnings Top Estimates, Durable Goods Disappoint, and Fed Reiterates Recent Stance:

Stocks and a slew of risk assets opened higher on Wednesday as investors looked passed a disappointing durable goods number and focused on a much stronger-than-expected earnings report from Apple Inc. (AAPL). The Commerce Department said total durable goods orders fell by -4.2% during March which missed the Street’s estimate for a decline of -1.7%. Excluding transportation items, durable goods orders fell by -1.1%, which still missed the Street’s estimates for a gain of +0.5%. The Fed concluded its two-day meeting, held rates steady, and largely reiterated their recent data-dependent stance regarding future policy. For months, the U.S. Fed has taken a “wait-and-see” approach for handling policy and whether or not to initiate another round of QE (i.e. stimulus).

Market Outlook- In A Correction

From our point of view, the market is still digesting its strong move in Q1 of 2011. The major averages are currently struggling with their respective 50 DMA lines as investors digest a slew of earnings and economic data. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, feel free to contact us for more information. That’s what we are here for!
 
 

Similar Posts

  • Stocks Close Below 200 DMA Line

    Technically, the fact that both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index closed below their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines suggests the market may retest its recent lows. Looking forward, the 50 DMA line should now act as resistance and this month’s lows should act as support. Since last Tuesday’s FTD, this column has steadily noted the importance of remaining very selective and disciplined because all of the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. This week’s sell off simply confirms that view. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks End Higher As Crude & Copper Slice Below 200 DMA Lines

    The NYSE composite closed below its respective 200 DMA line for the second straight session which is not a healthy sign. Furthermore, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq composite undercut last Monday’s lows which means the day count has been reset for those indexes. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has yet to violate last Monday’s low which means that it just finished Day 6 of its current rally attempt and the window for a proper FTD remains open (until 5.10.10’s low of 10,386 is breached). What does all this mean for investors? Simple, the market is in a correction which reiterates the importance of adopting a defense stance until a new rally is confirmed. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Rally After Bernanke Says Easy Money Still Needed

    Monday, March 26, 2012 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks and other risk assets edged higher on Monday after Ben Bernanke spoke before Monday’s open. From our point of view, the major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday 1.3.12 which was Day 9 of their current rally attempt. Since then, stocks have been enjoying a…

  • Stocks Flirt With Resistance

    The benchmark S&P 500 Index marked Day 14 of its current rally attempt and is currently encountering resistance just below its 200 DMA line. The Dow Jones Industrial Average marked Day 5 of its latest rally attempt while the Nasdaq Composite marked Day 3. At this point, the window is now open for the major averages to produce a sound follow-through day (FTD) until the recent lows are breached. Furthermore, it is well known that a market should not be considered “healthy” unless it trades above its rising 200-day moving average (DMA) line. The fact that all the major averages are below both their 50 & 200 DMA lines bodes poorly for the near term. That said, the bears will likely remain in control until the popular averages close above their important moving averages. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Close Above Resistance

    All the major averages traded above their respective two month downward trendlines and their 50 DMA lines on Thursday. However, it is a bit disconcerting to see volume recede as the market moves higher. This is the exact opposite of what one would like to see when the major averages rally. It is also important to note that the major averages are rallying up to an area where they encountered resistance several times in recent weeks and they are still below their longer term 200 DMA lines. That said, we can not argue with the tape and the bulls deserve the bullish benefit of the doubt until this “breakout” is negated. Trade accordingly.