Stocks Rally On Apple's Earnings

Please Note: After Nearly 10 Years of writing our daily stock market commentary, due to time constraints, this will become a weekly note-
Starting May 1, 2012.
We would like to thank you for your continued support and patronage! 

Nasdaq Back Above 50 DMA Line
Nasdaq Back Above 50 DMA Line

Wednesday, April 25, 2012
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and a slew of other “risk assets” bounced on Wednesday after Apple smashed estimates. As earnings and economic data continues to be released in droves, it is paramount that we not only pay attention to the actual numbers but how the stocks (and major averages) react to the numbers. This allows us to see how the market participants are “voting” and helps us filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: price action. Since the beginning of April, the action has been less than stellar. We find it somewhat encouraging to see all the major averages jump back above their respective 50 DMA lines in the wake of Apple’s blow-out quarter.

Apple’s Earnings Top Estimates, Durable Goods Disappoint, and Fed Reiterates Recent Stance:

Stocks and a slew of risk assets opened higher on Wednesday as investors looked passed a disappointing durable goods number and focused on a much stronger-than-expected earnings report from Apple Inc. (AAPL). The Commerce Department said total durable goods orders fell by -4.2% during March which missed the Street’s estimate for a decline of -1.7%. Excluding transportation items, durable goods orders fell by -1.1%, which still missed the Street’s estimates for a gain of +0.5%. The Fed concluded its two-day meeting, held rates steady, and largely reiterated their recent data-dependent stance regarding future policy. For months, the U.S. Fed has taken a “wait-and-see” approach for handling policy and whether or not to initiate another round of QE (i.e. stimulus).

Market Outlook- In A Correction

From our point of view, the market is still digesting its strong move in Q1 of 2011. The major averages are currently struggling with their respective 50 DMA lines as investors digest a slew of earnings and economic data. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, feel free to contact us for more information. That’s what we are here for!
 
 

Similar Posts

  • Day 1 Of A New Rally Attempt

    Wednesday marked Day 1 of a new rally attempt which means that the earliest a possible follow-through day (FTD) could emerge will be Monday. However, if at anytime, Wednesday’s lows are breached then the day count will be reset. The technical action in the major averages and the latest round of economic data bodes poorly for the market and the global recovery. Currently, resistance for the the major averages are their 50 DMA lines, then their longer term 200 DMA lines while support remains July’s lows. It is also disconcerting to see the action in several leading stocks remain questionable as evidenced by the dearth of high-ranked leaders breaking out of sound bases. Monday’s negatively reversal coupled with Tuesday’s ugly distribution day effectively ended the latest rally attempt. This emphasizes the importance of remaining cautious until the rally is back in a confirmed uptrend. Put simply, we can expect this sideways/choppy action to continue until the market breaks out above resistance or below support. The first scenario will have bullish ramifications while the second will be clearly bearish. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Fall After Fed Meeting

    Tuesday, September 21, 2010 Stock Market Commentary On average, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been strong. Looking forward, the window is open for disciplined investors to carefully buy high-ranked stocks. It was very encouraging to see the major averages and several leading stocks break above stubborn resistance levels and continue marching higher. All the major averages had recently rallied above their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines, a clear sign that the overall market is in healthier shape. Now that the summer highs have been exceeded, the next important resistance levels for the major averages are their respective April highs.

  • Stocks Negatively Reverse After Beige Book Shows "Modest" Economic Growth

    It is well known that a market should not be considered “healthy” unless it trades above its rising 200-day moving average (DMA) line. The fact that all the major averages are below both their 50 & 200 DMA lines bodes poorly for the near term. That said, the bears will likely remain in control until the popular averages close above their important moving averages and the euro catches a bid.

  • Stocks Smacked on Sour Debt, Economic, & Earnings Data

    Wednesday, July 27, 2011 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks were smacked on Wednesday after durable goods and the Fed’s beige book failed to impress, the debt stalemate in D.C. continued, and the latest round of earnings data was not thrilling. It is a bit worrisome to see the Nasdaq 100 negate its latest breakout and pull back…

  • Stocks Rally On A Busy Monday

    Looking at the market, the action remains healthy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, small cap Russell 2000 index, S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite are all trading near fresh 2009 highs. Leaving the NYSE composite just below its 2009 high. The fact that the market managed to rally last week and hit new highs in the face of disconcerting economic data and a stronger dollar is a very healthy sign. Ideally, one would like to see leadership and volume expand over the next few weeks as the major averages continue advancing.

  • Stocks End Shortened Holiday Week Lower

    Thursday, April 05, 2012 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks and other risk assets were relatively quiet on Thursday as the world waited for Friday’s payrolls report to be released and digested the latest no QE3 decline.Technically, it is very encouraging to see U.S. equity markets continue to outperform their peers on a relative basis. For most…