Stocks Rally on Election Day

Tuesday, November 2, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks rallied on Tuesday as the nation went to the polls. Volume patterns remain healthy as the major averages have now begun their 10th week of their ongoing rally. However, it is important to note that there have been an ominous number of distribution days that have emerged in the popular indexes in recent sessions which suggests caution. On average, market internals remain healthy evidenced by an upward sloping Advance/Decline line and the fact that new 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on both exchanges.

Elections & QE2 Send Stocks Higher:

Stocks rallied as the US dollar fell in anticipation of a republican victory and QE2 which is slated to be announced on Wednesday. Politicians are making one final push to attract voters before polls close later today. For over two months, stocks have steadily rallied as many believe the market is ready for a republican victory and QE 2. It is encouraging to see leading stocks continue to act well (AAPL, CMG, BIDU, PCLN, NFLX, FFIV, etc.) which is a strong sign for this 10 week rally.
Market Action- Confirmed Rally, Week 10:
Heretofore, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been strong but the market action has been wide-and-loose which is not a healthy sign. The next level of support for the major averages is their September highs, then their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. We have enjoyed large gains since the September 1st FTD and over the past few weeks, the tape remains somewhat sloppy.  Trade accordingly.

Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

Sarhan Wealth Management provides both global macro and equity only consulting services to high net worth and institutional clients around the world. For years, our clientele has participated in the firm’s objective market-based outlook, which has one primary goal: to provide robust trading ideas across all asset classes. Since 2004 we have outperformed the S&P 500 on a regular basis. These results are based solely on our weekly research. All our historical data is available upon request.
How we can improve your performance:

  • Achieve better results in the market by working with an objective third party.
  • Provide you with sound buy/sell ideas in real-time.
  • Provide objective feedback on your investment ideas and market outlook.
  • Contribute profitable ideas to your investment committee (if applicable).
  • All investment ideas are fully transparent, unbiased, and based on market action, not opinions.
  • Help create uniformed structure within your organization.

Contact Us To Learn How We Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Stocks End Near Highs; Economic Data Weak

    Some might say that Thursday marked day 1 of a new rally attempt due to the fact that the major averages closed in the upper half of their intraday ranges, recovering from steep losses in the first half of the session. That still does not change the fact that the market is in a correction which emphasizes the importance of raising cash and adopting a strong defensive stance until a new follow-through day emerges. For the past several weeks, this column has steadily noted the importance of remaining very selective and disciplined because all of the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. Their 50 DMA line may continue to act as stubborn resistance. It was also recently noted that the NYSE Composite Index’s 50 DMA line already sliced below the 200 DMA line, an event known by market technicians as a “death cross” which usually has bearish implications. Trade accordingly.

  • Week-in-Review: Bears Return After A 6-Week Hiatus

    Stocks Finally Pullback It was an ugly week on Wall Street as the bears returned from a short six week hiatus. Stocks fell hard last week, erased the last three weeks worth of gains, fell over 3.5%, and snapped a 6-week win streak. It was the largest weekly decline for stocks since August and the action suggests the…

  • Existing Home Sales & Stocks Fall

    Market Outlook- Uptrend Under Pressure:
    The last week of June’s strong action suggests the market is back in a confirmed rally. As our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the current rally is under severe pressure as investors patiently await earnings season and continue to digest the latest economic data. Until all the major averages violate their respective 50 DMA lines on a closing basis, the market deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Japan's Credit Cut & Durable Goods Top Estimates

    Market Outlook- New Rally Confirmed!
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. This action suggests a subtle and bullish shift may be on the horizon. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *