Stocks Fall As Rally Cools

Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks slid as investors digested the last two weeks of solid gains and patiently await Friday’s much anticipated non-farm payrolls report. The market is back in a confirmed uptrend and remains healthy as long as all the major averages continue trading above their respective 50 DMA lines and recent chart highs. The recent healthy action was in response to a very accommodative Fed, a series of stronger than expected Q1 results, and a host of solid economic data. Now that the market is back in a confirmed rally, odds favor higher, not lower, prices lie ahead.

Factory Orders Rise; Earnings Mixed To Strong:

On Tuesday, stocks slid as the latest rally cooled and investors digested the latest round of earnings and economic data. U.S. factory orders topped estimates in March as demand increased for machinery and computers which bodes well for the economic recovery and further business spending. The Commerce Department said factory orders rose +3%, a fifth consecutive increase, after a +0.7% gain in February. Meanwhile, the latest round of earnings data was mixed to slightly stronger which also bodes well for the ongoing recovery.

Market Outlook- Market In A Confirmed Rally

From our point of view, the market is back in “rally-mode” as all the major averages continue to trade above their respective 50 DMA lines and recent chart highs. However, we would be remiss not to note that a slew of  leading stocks suffered heavy distribution on Tuesday which is not ideal. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

Want Better Results?

You Need Better Ideas!

We Know Markets!

Learn How We Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Another Strong Week On Wall Street

    Market Action- Confirmed Rally; Week 25 Ends
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines in November as this market proves resilient and simply refuses to go down. From our point of view, the market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.
    Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
    Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

  • Stocks Rally On Healthy Economic Data

    Looking forward, the window is now open for disciplined investors to begin carefully buying high-ranked stocks again. The major indices’ 200-day moving average (DMA) lines may act as near term resistance. Remember to remain very selective because all of the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50 and 200 DMA lines. It was also somewhat disconcerting to see volume remain light (below average) behind the confirming gains. It is important to note that approximately 75% of FTDs lead to new sustained rallies, while 25% fail. In addition, every major rally in market history has begun with a FTD, but not every FTD leads to a new rally. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Rally As Greek Banks Consolidate

    Monday, August 29, 2011 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks rallied on Monday as E.U. debt woes continued to ease and buyers continued accumulating shares as this extremely volatile month begins its final week. The major averages are technically in a new confirmed rally which means probing the long side may be prudent, if/when high ranked stocks…

  • Earnings Season Begins Stocks; Stocks Fall

    For the most part, the major averages and leading stocks are beginning to weaken as investors continue to digest the slew of economic and earnings data being released each day. Until a clear picture can be formed as to how companies fared last quarter one could easily expect to see more of this sideways action to continue. The market just completed its 45th week since the March lows and the rally remains intact as long as the major averages continue trading above their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. Until those levels are breached, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt.

  • Stocks End Lower On Housing & Consumer Sentiment Data

    Tuesday, December 29, 2009 Market Commentary: The major averages traded between positive and negative territory before ending lower as investors digested the latest round of mixed economic data. Volume, an important indicator of institutional sponsorship, was lower than Monday’s session which indicated large institutions were not aggressively dumping stocks. Advancers were about even with decliners…