Stocks Slide on Tepid Economic Data

Tuesday, May 17, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:
Stocks and a host of commodities fell after the latest round of tepid economic and earnings data was released. So far, the old adage, “Sell in May and Go Away,” appears to be working brilliantly.  From our vantage point, the market rally remains under pressure due to the lackluster action in the major averages and several leading stocks.

Q1 Economic Results, Housing Starts, & Industrial Production:

Before Tuesday’s open a slew of high profile companies released mixed-to-lower Q1 results and the latest economic data missed estimates. The Commerce Department said housing starts (a.k.a. new homes being built), fell -11% from March and missed the Street’s estimate of 569,000. Work began at an annual pace of 523,000 houses last month. The report showed that building permits, a sign of future construction, also fell. This was the latest in a series of dissapointing data from the ailing housing market. A separate report showed that industrial production was unchanged in April which fell short of the Street’s estimate for a +0.4% increase.

Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure

From our point of view, the market rally is under serious pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this juncture.  Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines and resistance is their 2011 highs. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds on a closing basis. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

Want Better Results?

You Need Better Ideas!

We Know Markets!

Learn How We Can Help You!

 

Similar Posts

  • 27-Week Rally Continues!

    Market Action- Rally Under Pressure; Week 27 Begins
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines in November, January, and late February. From our point of view, the market remains in rally-mode until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks were a bit extended in recent months and this pullback (back to the 50 DMA lines) is very healthy as it shakes out the weaker hands and restores the the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.
    Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
    Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

  • Stocks Consolidate Last Week's Advance

    Monday, January 10, 2011 Stock Market Commentary: The major averages ended mixed to slightly lower as the USD pulled back to consolidate last week’s impressive advance. Heretofore, market internals remain healthy evidenced by broad leadership, favorable volume patterns, a rising advance/decline line, and a healthy number of new highs on both major exchanges. M&A News…

  • Stocks Close Below 200 DMA Line

    Technically, the fact that both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index closed below their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines suggests the market may retest its recent lows. Looking forward, the 50 DMA line should now act as resistance and this month’s lows should act as support. Since last Tuesday’s FTD, this column has steadily noted the importance of remaining very selective and disciplined because all of the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. This week’s sell off simply confirms that view. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Rally On A Busy Monday

    Looking at the market, the action remains healthy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, small cap Russell 2000 index, S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite are all trading near fresh 2009 highs. Leaving the NYSE composite just below its 2009 high. The fact that the market managed to rally last week and hit new highs in the face of disconcerting economic data and a stronger dollar is a very healthy sign. Ideally, one would like to see leadership and volume expand over the next few weeks as the major averages continue advancing.