Strong Housing & Earnings Lift Stocks!

Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks bounced nicely off their respective 50 DMA lines after a flurry of stronger-than-expected economic and earnings data was announced. It is important to note that all the major averages are back above their respective 50 DMA lines which is an encouraging sign. Looking forward, the next level of support are the 2011 lows/the 200 DMA lines and the next level of resistance are the 2011 highs.

Housing Starts & Earnings Top Estimates!

On Tuesday, housing starts topped estimates and jumped to the fastest pace in five months. The Commerce Department said work began at an annual rate of 629,000 houses which is up +14.6% from the prior month. This was the latest in a string of stronger-than-expected data from the ailing housing market. Hopefully, better days lie ahead for the ailing housing sector. Elsewhere, several high profiled companies released stronger-than-expected Q2 results which bodes well for the current rally. IBM &  Coca-Cola (KO) led the way higher when they reported solid Q2 results. Barring some unforeseen event, we are expecting another solid earnings season.

Market Outlook- Uptrend Under Pressure:

The last week of June’s strong action suggests the market is back in a confirmed rally. As our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the current rally is under severe pressure as investors patiently await earnings season and continue to digest the latest economic data. Until all the major averages violate their respective 50 DMA lines on a closing basis, the market deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
 

Stock Market Research?

Global Macro Research?

Want To Follow Trends?

Learn How We Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Global Economy Continues To Slow

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and important upward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged our clients and readers to be extremely cautious as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. We have received a lot of “thank you” emails for being “spot on” in our cautious approach. We are humbled by your presence and very thankful for your continued support. Looking forward, the next level of resistance for the major averages is their respective 50 DMA lines then their 2011 highs. The next level of support is their longer term 200 DMA lines. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • 7-Week Rally Continues!

    So far, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been very strong and stocks are simply pausing to consolidate their recent gains. It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend support (formerly resistance) in recent weeks. The next level of support for the major averages is their September highs, then their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade according

  • Stocks & Euro Negatively Reverse

    Wednesday marked Day 2 of a new rally attempt for the benchmark S&P 500 index but the other major averages have yet to mark Day 1 which is a negative divergence. That said, as long Tuesday’s lows are not breached in the S&P 500, the earliest a proper follow-through day (FTD) could occur would be Friday. However, if at anytime, Tuesday’s lows are breached, then the day count will be reset. What does all of this mean for investors? Simple, the market remains in a correction which reiterates the importance of adopting a strong defense stance until a new rally is confirmed. Trade accordingly.

  • Global Central Banks Help The Euro

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure:
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when several distribution days emerge or August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.