Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Stock Market Commentary
Stocks ended mixed after August’s retail sales topped estimates and gold surged to a fresh all-time high. Tuesday’s volume totals were reported about even on the NYSE and higher on the Nasdaq exchange compared to Monday’s levels. Decliners led advancers by a small margin on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs easily outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 69 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, lower than the 77 issues that appeared on the prior session.
Slower Growth in Europe Hurts Stocks:
Stocks in Europe were under pressure before Tuesday’s open after a report showed economic growth in the Eurozone was slowing. In the US, retail sales toppped estimates and rose by the largest pace in five months. The Commerce Department said total retail sales swelled by +0.4% following a revised +0.3% rise in July. This was the second consecutive monthly gain and bodes well for the economic recovery.
Market Action- Confirmed Rally:
Tuesday’s action was considered normal after Monday’s large move. Overall, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) remains healthy. Looking forward, the window is now open for disciplined investors to begin carefully buying high-ranked stocks again. It was encouraging to see a flurry of high-ranked leaders trigger fresh technical buy signals and break out of sound bases in recent sessions. All the major averages jumped above their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines today which is another encouraging sign. The next important level to watch for the major averages are their summer highs. It is important to note that approximately 75% of FTDs lead to new sustained rallies, while 25% fail. In addition, every major rally in market history has begun with a FTD, but not every FTD leads to a new rally. Trade accordingly.