The Debt Waiting Game Continues

Tuesday, July 26, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks were mixed for much of Tuesday as investors digested a slew of mixed earnings and economic data. It is very encouraging to see the Nasdaq 100 continue to lead its peers and remain perched near its 2011 high! Technically, it is encouraging to see the major averages find support and bounce off their respective 50 DMA lines in the middle of July. Looking forward, the next level of support are the 2011 lows/the 200 DMA lines and the next level of resistance are the 2011 highs.

Debt Deadline Approaches, Earnings & Economic Data Mixed:

On Tuesday, investors digested a slew of mixed earnings and economic data and continued to wait for a solution to the debt problem in D.C. Earnings news was mixed: NFLX, UPX, & MMM were among some of the large profile companies that fell after releasing their Q2 results. Alternatively, shares of BIDU, BRCM, & F traded higher after releasing their Q2 results.
Data on the Economic front was mixed to slightly positive. The S&P Case-Shiller index of U.S. home prices rose in May.  This was received well by the market and was the second consecutive monthly gain for domestic home prices. Meanwhile, a separate report showed that new-home sales slid -1% in June to an annual rate of 312,000. Economists like to see an average annual rate near 750,000 to be considered healthy. Finally, U.S. consumer confidence rose in July which bodes well for the economic recovery. The Conference Board said its index hit 59.5 in July which topped analyst estimates.

Market Outlook- Confirmed Rally

The last week of June’s strong action suggests the market is back in a confirmed rally. As our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the recent action suggests the rally is back in a confirmed rally as all the major averages are now flirting with fresh 2011 highs. Until all the major averages violate their respective 50 DMA lines on a closing basis, the market deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
 

Stock Market Research?

Global Macro Research?

Want To Follow Trends?

Learn How We Can Help You!

 

Similar Posts

  • Markets Fall As Dollar Rallies

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure
    From our point of view, the market rally is under pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this stage. Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines and resistance is their 2011 highs. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

  • Stocks & Commodities Rally As Dollar Falls

    The 12-week rally ended on Tuesday, November 16, 2010 after the major averages plunged in heavy volume back down towards their respective 50 DMA lines. In recent weeks, we have repeatedly written about how the major averages were experiencing wide-and-loose action after a big move and made it very clear that that was not a healthy sign. At this point, we are looking for a new rally to be confirmed with a new follow-through day before taking any new positions. Caution and patience are key at this point. Trade accordingly.

  • Nasdaq Retreats; Other Major Averages Advance

    Stocks remain strong as investors digested the latest round of economic data. The benchmark S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, NYSE composite, mid-cap S&P 400, small-cap Russell 2000 and small-cap S&P 600 indices all enjoyed fresh recovery closing highs! The current rally is in its 44th week (since the March 12, 2009 follow-through day) and on all accounts still looks very strong. In addition, most bull markets last for approximately 36 months, so the fact that we are beginning our 10th month suggests we have more room to go. December’s jobs report will likely set the stage for the next near term move for the major averages but until support is broken (50 DMA lines for the major averages), this rally deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt.

  • Stocks Slide On Lackluster Economic Data

    Market Action- Confirmed Rally; Week 25 Begins
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines in November as this market proves resilient and simply refuses to go down. From our point of view, the market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.
    Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
    Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

  • Stocks Quiet on Humphrey Hawkins Testimony

    Market Action- Confirmed Rally; Week 24
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines in November as this market proves resilient and simply refuses to go down. From our point of view, the market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.
    Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
    Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!