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  • Stocks Drift Lower On Last Day Of Q3

    The action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been very strong. Looking forward, the window is open for disciplined investors to carefully buy high-ranked stocks, while many pundits are expecting that markets may consolidate following recent gains. It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend support (formerly resistance) last week. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Soar On Strong Earnings & Housing Data

    Market Action- Market In A Confirmed Rally
    From our point of view, the market is back in “rally-mode” as all the major averages continue to trade above their respective 50 DMA lines and are perched below their 2011 highs! In addition, leading stocks have held up very well even as the major averages slid below their respective 50 DMA lines. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
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  • Stocks Soar As Dollar Plunges

    The action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been very strong and stocks are simply pausing to consolidate their recent gains. It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend support (formerly resistance) in recent weeks. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly.

  • 7-Week Rally Under Pressure

    Stocks tanked on Friday after several high profile companies released their Q1 results and the SEC charged Goldman Sachs with fraud. Our primary concern before the SEC/GS news was released was the ominous action in shares of GOOG, ISRG and BAC after releasing their Q1 results. Longstanding readers of this column know how much we focus on how the market reacts to the news, not just the news itself. That said, the fact that these leaders reacted poorly to bullish quarterly results suggests that the much anticpated pullback may have begun. Then the SEC/GS news broke, which was the proverbial icing on the cake. At this point, the major averages have been steadily rallying since early February and a pullback of some sort should be expected. Since the March 1, 2010 follow-through day there have been 6 distribution days on the S&P 500 which is more than enough to put pressure on this 7-week rally. Trade accordingly.

  • Day 1 Of A New Rally Attempt

    Looking at the market, Monday marked Day 1 of a new rally attempt which means that as long as Monday’s lows are not breached, the earliest a possible follow-through day could emerge will be this Thursday. However, if Monday’s lows are taken out, then the day count will be reset and the chances for a steeper correction increase markedly. It is also important to see how the major averages react to their respective 50 DMA lines. Until they all close above that important level the technical damage remaining on the charts is a concern. So far, the market’s reaction has been tepid at best to the latest round of economic and earnings data. Remember that the recent series of distribution days coupled with the deleterious action in the major averages suggests large institutions are aggressively selling stocks. Disciplined investors will now wait for a new follow-through day to be produced before resuming any buying efforts. Until then, patience is key.