Week-Long Consolidation Continues

Gold- Bullish Double Bottom Pattern
Gold- Bullish Double Bottom Pattern

Thursday, February 09, 2012
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and a slew of other risk assets were relatively quiet on a rather busy news day. From our point of view, the major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday 1.3.12 which was Day 9 of their current rally attempt. It was also encouraging to see the S&P 500 break above its downward trendline and its longer term 200 DMA line. Looking forward, the S&P 500 has done a great job staying above its Q4 2011 high (~1292) and now has its sights set on its 2011, high near 1370. In addition, the bulls remain in control as long as the benchmark S&P 500 trades above 1292 and then its 200 DMA line.

Greece Agrees To Bailout Terms, ECB and BOE Meetings Barely Move Markets:

Investors digested a lot of earnings and economic data on Thursday. The big news was that Greece agreed to to the demanding terms of its second bailout package from the EU and the IMF. Separately, the Bank of England (BOE) and the European Central Bank (ECB) both concluded their latest meetings. The BOE injected (printed more money) $79.3 billion to boost their struggling economy. Meanwhile, the ECB held rates steady at 1% and made it clear that they are willing to take additional (and aggressive) steps to save the Euro, if needed. Finally, the Labor Department said jobless claims fell by 15,000 to a seasonally adjusted 358,000.

Market Outlook- New Rally Confirmed

Risk assets (stocks, FX, and commodities) have been acting better since the latter half of December. Now that the major U.S. averages scored a proper follow-through day the path of least resistance is higher. Looking forward, one can err on the long side as long as the benchmark S&P 500 remains above support (1292). Leadership is beginning to improve which is another healthy sign. Now that the 200 DMA line was taken out it will be important to see how long the market can stay above this important level. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, feel free to contact us for more information. That’s what we are here for!

Similar Posts

  • Stocks End Week In Red; 50 DMA Line Under Attack!

    Market Action- Rally Under Pressure
    The current rally which began with the Thursday, March 24, 2011 FTD is now under pressure as several of the major averages violated, and closed, below their respective 50 DMA lines. Remaining objective, it is bullish to see several leading stocks continue to act well (LULU, BIDU, DECK, PCLN, OPEN, SINA, etc) but the deterioration in the major averages should not be overlooked. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Have you seen the “Wise Money Library”?
    Now, All In One Place, A Collection Of Strategies, Techniques and
    Resources That Professional Traders and Investors Use
    Have a Look: www.WiseMoneyLibrary.com

  • Korea, China, & EU Debt Woes Send Dow Below 50 DMA Line

    Tuesday, November 23, 2010 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks and a handful of commodities fell as the USD rallied after a slew of geopolitical threats sent investors rushing to so called “safe” investments (i.e. USD and Gold). The rally which began on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day ended on Tuesday. November 16, 2010 as stocks…

  • Stocks Mixed as Q3 Winds Down

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure:
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when several distribution days emerge or August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Act Now!
    Limited-Time Offer!
    www.FindLeadingStocks.com

  • Stocks Tank As Nuclear Threat Spreads In Japan

    Market Action- Market In A Correction; 28-Week Rally Ends
    All the major averages sliced below their respective 50 DMA lines on Thursday, March 10, 2011. Then, on Friday, all the major averages except for the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite managed to repair that damage and close above their respective 50 DMA lines which was somewhat encouraging and marked Day 1 of a new rally attempt. However, Friday’s lows were promptly breached on Monday as all the major averages dove below their 50 DMA lines on heavy volume. This ominous action reset the day count and reiterates the importance of raising cash and playing strong defense until a new FTD emerges. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Don’t Miss Out!
    See How Our New Site Can Help You!
    Visit: www.SarhanCapital.com Today!

  • Stocks Remain Strong As Home Prices Continue To Fall

    Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally Week 18
    It is encouraging to see the bulls show up in November and defend the 50 DMA lines for the major averages. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. Put simply, stocks are strong. Trade accordingly. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.