Week-In-Review: Stocks Rally On Strong Earnings

Stocks Rally On Strong Earnings

The bulls remain in clear control of this market as the impressive rally continues unchecked. There are a few important things to note: First, the market is extremely extended. Second, it refuses to fall. In fact, pullbacks last a few hours, not even a few days. Third, even stocks that gap down on earnings are almost immediately bought up which tells you everything you need to know about this very strong bull market. I’m still of the mindset that we are entering a climax run where the market just takes off and rallies into no-man’s land. Historically, a climax run occurs in the late stages of a bull market and you can easily see the market surge 50% in a few months as the buying frenzy gets out of control. We still have a slew of earnings that are coming out over the next few weeks but needless to say, in the short-term, the market is way overdue to pullback. 

Mon-Wed Action:

Stocks rallied on Monday, erasing slight losses from earlier in the session, as U.S. lawmakers reached a deal that would re-open the government after it closed Friday night at midnight. Separately, earnings season is off to a good start. So far, nearly all of the big banks are trading higher after reporting Q1 results and nearly 68% of the companies in the S&P 500 that reported earnings beat estimates according to data from CNBC and FactSet. After Monday’s close, Netflix gapped up after reporting solid numbers. On Tuesday, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit fresh record highs as Netflix surged. The video streaming giant said it added 8.33 million new subscribers, easily beating the Street’s estimate for a gain of 6.39 million.  Netflix’s stock vaulted over +10% on Tuesday which helped the company’s market cap jump above $100 billion for the first time. Stocks opened higher on Wednesday, but sold off mid-day before rallying back into the close.

Thur & Fri Action:

Stocks were quiet on Thursday after weaker-than-expected housing data was released. On Wednesday, existing home sales missed estimates. Then, on Thursday, New Home Sales came in at 625,000, missing estimates for 680,000. A slew of housing stocks fell on the news. Stocks rallied on Friday after President Trump gave a speech in Davos and said U.S. is open for business. Before Friday’s open, the government said, Q4 GDP rose by 2.6%, missing estimates for a gain of +2.9%.

Market Outlook: Bulls Are Strong

The bulls are back in control and the market remains very strong. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. Hit A Wall? Want To Get More Done? Achieve More Goals? We Can Help.
Learn More Here

Similar Posts

  • Week-In-Review: Stocks End Lower Amid Geopolitical Turmoil

    Bulls Defend Support -Amid Geopolitical Turmoil  Stocks ended slightly lower on the first week of the second quarter but, for now, the bulls managed to defend support. The two “big” market-moving headlines came from the Fed and President Trump. On Wednesday, the Fed released the minutes of its most recent meeting and it showed Fed…

  • Earnings & M&A News Lifts Stocks

    It is important to note that the major averages have been steadily rallying since early February and a pullback of some sort should be expected. Tuesday marked the latest distribution day since the rally was confirmed on the March 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD). According to the paper, there are 6 distribution days for the NYSE, 5 for the S&P 500, 4 for the Dow, and 3 for the Nasdaq in recent weeks. This puts some pressure on this 9-week rally, but has yet to cause any technical damage. The fact that the market continues to shrug off any and all negative data bodes very well for this 13-month bull market.

  • Stocks Edge Higher Ahead of Fed Meeting

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NYSE Composite Index have traded above resistance at their long term 200-day moving average (DMA) lines and recent chart highs. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, benchmark S&P 500, and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes still remain slightly below their recent chart highs. However, the fact that all of the major averages are trading above their respective 2-month downward trendlines bodes well for this five week rally. In order for a new leg higher to begin, all the major averages must close and remain above their respective resistance levels. Remember that the window remains open for for high-ranked stocks to be accumulated when they trigger fresh technical buy signals. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks End Higher As Crude & Copper Slice Below 200 DMA Lines

    The NYSE composite closed below its respective 200 DMA line for the second straight session which is not a healthy sign. Furthermore, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq composite undercut last Monday’s lows which means the day count has been reset for those indexes. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has yet to violate last Monday’s low which means that it just finished Day 6 of its current rally attempt and the window for a proper FTD remains open (until 5.10.10’s low of 10,386 is breached). What does all this mean for investors? Simple, the market is in a correction which reiterates the importance of adopting a defense stance until a new rally is confirmed. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Smacked on Sour Debt, Economic, & Earnings Data

    Wednesday, July 27, 2011 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks were smacked on Wednesday after durable goods and the Fed’s beige book failed to impress, the debt stalemate in D.C. continued, and the latest round of earnings data was not thrilling. It is a bit worrisome to see the Nasdaq 100 negate its latest breakout and pull back…

  • Flight To Safety; Stocks & Commodities Plunge As Dollar Soars!

    The market is currently in a correction which, according to historical precedent, suggests 3 out of 4 stocks will follow the market lower until a new follow-through day emerges. That said, taking the appropriate action on a case-by-case basis with your stocks prompts investors to raise cash when any holdings start getting in trouble. It is also important to note that the major averages have experienced multiple “corrections” since the March 2009 lows and each one has been mild at best (less than a -10% decline from the recent high). Therefore, it will be very interesting to see how low this correction goes before the bulls show up and defend support. Additionally, it is important to note that the market can go much lower (or higher) than anyone thinks; so it is of the utmost importance to filter out the “noise” and carefully analyze price and volume action of the major average for the best read on the health of the market. It will be very interesting to see how the market reacts to Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report slated to be released 8:30am EST.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *