Stocks End Mixed As US Dollar Rallies

Monday, November 15, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and commodities ended mixed as the USD advanced against the euro. Volume patterns remain relatively healthy as the major averages have now entered their 12th week of their ongoing rally. On average, market internals remain healthy evidenced by an upward sloping Advance/Decline line and the fact that new 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on both exchanges.

EU Debt Woes Continue To Weigh On Markets:

The “big” story that continues to weigh on the market is the ongoing geopolitical woes in Europe. Over the weekend, both the IMF and Irish government said Ireland does not need additional aid to stay solvent. In Italy, four top officials in Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi’s government, including a Cabinet minister, will resign today in a move designed to trigger early elections and topple oust the current regime. In the U.S., retail sales topped estimates in October, thanks in part to stronger auto sales. The news helped lift stocks and offset concern from a softer than expected mfg report from the NY region.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally, Week 12:

Heretofore, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been strong but the market action has been wide-and-loose which is not a healthy sign. The next level of support for the major averages is their October highs (SPX 1185-1190), then their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. Trade accordingly.

Similar Posts

  • Week In Review: Stocks Fall As Earnings Season Begins

    Stocks Fall As Earnings Season Begins Stocks fell hard last week as the market digested the latest round of mixed economic and earnings data. Investors continue to wait for a new catalyst to emerge to help the benchmark S&P 500 break out of its current 5-month trading range. Since December 2014, the S&P 500 has been trading between 2,119 (resistance) and…

  • Volume Lighter Than Friday; No FTD!

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction
    The latest action in the major averages suggests the market is back in a correction as all the major averages remain below key technical levels. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the recent action suggests caution is paramount at this stage until all the major averages rally back towards their respective 200 DMA lines. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Analysis?
    Global Macro Research?
    Learn How To Follow Trends!

  • Stocks Edge Higher; Look Past Sour Housing Data

    Market Action- Market In A Correction; 28-Week Rally Ends
    All the major averages sliced below their respective 50 DMA lines on Thursday, March 10, 2011. Thursday, March 17, 2011 marked day 1 of a new rally attempt which means that the earliest a possible follow-through day (FTD) could emerge would be Tuesday, as long as Thursday’s lows are not breached. That said, the window is now open for a new FTD to emerge which will confirm the current rally attempt. However, if Thursday’s lows are breached, then the day count will be reset and odds will favor lower prices, not higher, will follow. It is important to note that the recent ominous action reiterates the importance of raising cash and playing strong defense until a new FTD emerges. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Don’t Miss Out!
    Have You Seen How Our New Site Can Help You!
    Visit: www.SarhanCapital.com Today!

  • Rally Attempt Ends As Stocks Negatively Reverse

    Looking at the market, Tuesday’s ominous action effectively ended the current rally attempt and suggests a steeper correction may unfold. It is also important to see how the major averages react to their respective 50 DMA lines. Until they all close above that important level the technical damage remaining on the charts is a concern. So far, the market’s reaction has been tepid at best to the latest round of economic and earnings data. Remember that the recent series of distribution days coupled with the deleterious action in the major averages suggests large institutions are aggressively selling stocks. Disciplined investors will now wait for a new follow-through day to be produced before resuming any buying efforts. Until then, patience is paramount.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *