Stocks End Mixed As US Dollar Rallies

Monday, November 15, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and commodities ended mixed as the USD advanced against the euro. Volume patterns remain relatively healthy as the major averages have now entered their 12th week of their ongoing rally. On average, market internals remain healthy evidenced by an upward sloping Advance/Decline line and the fact that new 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on both exchanges.

EU Debt Woes Continue To Weigh On Markets:

The “big” story that continues to weigh on the market is the ongoing geopolitical woes in Europe. Over the weekend, both the IMF and Irish government said Ireland does not need additional aid to stay solvent. In Italy, four top officials in Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi’s government, including a Cabinet minister, will resign today in a move designed to trigger early elections and topple oust the current regime. In the U.S., retail sales topped estimates in October, thanks in part to stronger auto sales. The news helped lift stocks and offset concern from a softer than expected mfg report from the NY region.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally, Week 12:

Heretofore, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been strong but the market action has been wide-and-loose which is not a healthy sign. The next level of support for the major averages is their October highs (SPX 1185-1190), then their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. Trade accordingly.

Similar Posts

  • Stocks Fall On A Slew of Earnings & Economic News

    Thursday, April 19, 2012 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks and other risk assets were mostly lower on Thursday as investors digested a slew of earnings and economic data. As earnings continue to be released in droves, it is paramount that we not only pay attention to the actual numbers but how the stocks (and major averages) react to…

  • Dollar Up; Stocks End Flat

    So far, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been very strong and stocks are simply pausing to consolidate their recent gains. It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend support (formerly resistance) in recent weeks. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly.

  • QE 3 Is Officially In The Cards; Another Weak Close!

    Market Outlook- Uptrend Under Pressure:
    The last week of June’s strong action suggests the market is back in a confirmed rally. As our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the current rally is under pressure as investors patiently await earnings season and continue to digest the latest economic data. Until the major averages violate their respective 50 DMA lines on a closing basis, the market deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Buyers Gobble Up Stocks; 8th Weekly Gain

    STOCK MARKET COMMENTARY: FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 29, 2013 Stocks enjoyed their 8th consecutive week as the major averages continue to march higher. As we have mentioned several times recently, in the short-term the market is extended and a light volume pullback would do wonders to restore the health of this rally. The market negatively reversed (opened…

  • Stocks Score A FTD, New Rally Confirmed!

    The Nasdaq composite confirmed its latest rally attempt and produced a sound FTD which means the window is now open to begin buying high-ranked stocks again. Technically, it was encouraging to see the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the benchmark S&P 500 index close above their respective 200 DMA lines. However, the fact that volume receded compared to the prior session prevented the DJIA and S&P 500 from scoring a proper FTD.
    At this point, the S&P 500 is down -8.5% from its 19-month high of 1,219 and managed to close above resistance (200 DMA line) of its latest trading range. Looking forward, the 200 DMA line should now act as support as this market continues advancing. Remember to remain very selective because all the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50 DMA lines. It was also disconcerting to see volume remain suspiciously light behind Tuesday’s move. It is important to note that approximately +75% of FTD’s lead to new sustained rallies, while +25% fail. In addition, every major rally in market history has begun with a FTD, but not every FTD leads to a new rally. Trade accordingly.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *