Quiet Day On Wall Street

Thursday, January 27, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

The major averages traded in a narrow range on Thursday as stronger pending home sales helped offset weaker durable goods and jobless data. The benchmark S&P 500 index managed to hit a new recovery high which took pressure off this current (and robust) 22-week rally. The fact that the bulls showed up and quickly quelled the bearish pressure suggests this rally has more room to go.

Jobless Claims & Durable Goods Miss; Pending Home Sales Beat:

Before Thursday’s open, Standard and Poor’s downgraded Japan’s credit rating to AA- from AA, amid growing debt woes. Japan, the world’s third-largest economy in the world after the United States and China, was downgraded by the Japanese government’s already high debt burden was likely to continue to rise and would only peak during the middle of next decade. In the U.S., weekly jobless claims rose by +51,000 to 454,000 last week which easily topped estimates. Heavy snow in the north east was blamed for the uptick in jobless claims. Elsewhere, durable goods fell -2.5% in December largely due to weakness in aircraft orders. At 10am EST, the National Association of Realtors said pending home sales rose 2% to 93.7 for a fifth consecutive monthly gain. The initial read on Q4 GDP is slated to be released before Friday’s open.

Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally; Week 22

It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines as this market proves resilient and simply refuses to go down. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • New Rally Confirmed: Don't Fight The Fed!

    Wednesday, November 30, 2011 Stock Market Commentary: Risk assets surged across the globe after several central banks across the world flooded the system with liqudiity to help stimulate the global economy. There have been a few isolated instances in history where a new follow-through day (FTD) emerges on Day 3.  Since Wednesday marked Day 3…

  • Stocks Look Past Chinese Rate Hike & Disappointing Economic Data

    Market Outlook- Market In A Confirmed Uptrend:
    The last week of June’s strong action suggests the market is back in a confirmed rally. As our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the action remains bullish until the major averages and leading stocks violate their respective 50 DMA lines. Until then, the market deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt. Barring some unforeseen event, investors will likely be focusing on the jobs market this week and then turn their attention to Q2 earnings. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You

  • Stocks Dive On Tepid Housing Data

    The technical action in the major averages continues to weaken alongside the latest round of tepid economic data. Currently, resistance for the the major averages are their 50 DMA lines, then their longer term 200 DMA lines. It is also disconcerting to see the action in several leading stocks remain questionable as evidenced by the dearth of high-ranked leaders breaking out of sound bases.
    From our perspective, Monday’s negatively reversal coupled with Tuesday’s ugly distribution day effectively ended the latest rally attempt which emphasizes the importance of remaining cautious until the rally is back in a confirmed uptrend. Put simply, we can expect this sideways/choppy action to continue until the market breaks out above resistance or below support (recent chart lows). The first scenario will have bullish ramifications while the second will be clearly bearish. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks End Near Lows; After Strong Open

    The market remains in a correction, which emphasizes the importance of raising cash and adopting a strong defensive stance until a new follow-through day emerges. For the past several weeks, this column has steadily noted the importance of remaining very selective and disciplined because all of the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. In addition, their 50 DMA lines may continue to act as stubborn resistance. It was also recently noted that the NYSE Composite and the benchmark S&P 500’s 50 DMA lines sliced below their respective 200 DMA lines, an event known by market technicians as a “death cross” which usually has bearish implications. Trade accordingly.

  • Week-In-Review: Stocks Quiet As President Trump Takes Office

    Stocks Quiet As President Trump Takes Office Stocks ended lower last week as the market simply pauses to consolidate a very strong post-election rally. The major indices were very extended from the norm and are simply pulling back a little to consolidate a very strong rally. The small-cap Russell 2000 pulled into its 50 DMA…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *