Stocks React To Healthy Data

Wednesday, January 26, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

The major averages traded in a narrow range on Wednesday as new home sales surged and the Fed held rates steady near historic lows. The benchmark S&P 500 index managed to hit a new recovery high which took pressure off this current (and robust) 22-week rally. The fact that the bulls showed up and quickly quelled the bearish pressure suggests this rally has more room to go.

State of the Union Is Strong & Fed Holds Rates Steady:

U.S. stocks edged higher one day after President Obama said the State of the union is strong. The Commerce Department said new home sales rose nearly +18% to a 329,000 annual pace which easily topped the Street’s estimate for a rise to 300,000. The percentage jump was the largest since 1992, and was led by a record +72% increase in the West in December. Elsewhere, the Federal Reserve concluded its first meeting of 2011 and decided to hold rates steady near historic lows and largely reiterated their recent stance and said the economy continues to improve.

Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally; Week 22

It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines as this market proves resilient and simply refuses to go down. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Melt Up Continues; 6th Straight Weekly Gain On Wall Street

    STOCK MARKET COMMENTARY: FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 15, 2013 Stocks rallied for a sixth consecutive week as the major averages continue to march higher. As we have mentioned several times recently, in the short-term the market is extended and a light volume pullback would do wonders to restore the health of this rally. The fact that the…

  • Rally Under Pressure

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure
    From our point of view, the market rally is under pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this stage. We would be remiss not to note that a slew of leading stocks suffered heavy distribution earlier this week which is not ideal. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Want Better Results?
    You Need Better Ideas!
    We Know Markets!
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Stocks Get Smacked As Dollar Soars!

    The technical action in the major averages has deteriorated significantly now that all the major averages failed to close above their recent chart highs (resistance) and sliced below their respective 200 DMA lines. It is also worrisome to see the number of distribution days pile up in recent weeks which puts pressure on the current five-week rally. In order for a new leg higher to begin, all the major averages must close and remain above their respective resistance levels. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Smacked After Fed Decision

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure:
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when several distribution days emerge or August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

  • Stocks Mixed As Dollar Rallies

    The 12-week rally ended on Tuesday, November 16, 2010 after the major averages plunged in heavy volume back down towards their respective 50 DMA lines. In recent weeks, we have repeatedly written about how the major averages were experiencing wide-and-loose action after a big move and made it very clear that that was not a healthy sign. At this point, we are looking for a new rally to be confirmed with a new follow-through day before taking any new positions. However, we would be remiss not to note that the major averages deserve the bullish benefit of the doubt as long as they remain above their respective 50 DMA lines. Caution and patience are key at this point. Trade accordingly.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *