Another Quiet Day On Wall Street

Byinfo@50park.com
SPX- Clears Resistance This Week
SPX- Clears Resistance This Week

Thursday, March 15, 2012
Stock Market Commentary:

Investors digested a slew of data on Thursday  led by the explosive post Stress-test results from the country’s largest banks. From our point of view, the major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday 1.3.12 which was Day 9 of their current rally attempt. Since then, stocks have been enjoying a very strong uptrend. The benchmark S&P 500 paused near its 2011 high (~1370) before moving higher. It would be perfectly normal and healthy to see a 5-9% pullback at any point to give the bulls a chance to consolidate the recent gain. That would bring the S&P 500 down to 1310-1250. Until then, the bulls remain in control of this market as long as the benchmark S&P 500 stays above its 50 DMA line.

On Average, Economic Data Helps Stocks:

Investors digested a slew of economic data on Thursday. The Labor Department said weekly jobless claims fell to a fresh 4-year low which bodes well for the jobs market and the broader economy. Jobless claims fell by 14,000 to 351,000 last week. Meanwhile, the PPI rose +0.4%, largely due to a jump in energy prices. New York manufacturing rose and topped estimates but showed inflationary pressures are rising. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank’s business activity index rose for a fifth consecutive month to 12.5 from 10.2 in February. The report topped the Street’s estimate of 12.0.

Market Outlook- Confirmed Rally

After a very shallow pullback the majority of risk assets (Stocks, FX, and commodities) have began to rally. So far this action is considered healthy for the risk on trade. However, if sellers show up and support is breached then the bears will have regained control of this market (still a long ways off). As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, feel free to contact us for more information. That’s what we are here for!
 

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    Stock Market Commentary:
    Stocks and a host of commodities ended mixed after the latest economic data missed estimates. So far, the old adage, “Sell in May and Go Away,” appears to be working brilliantly. From our vantage point, the market rally remains under pressure due to the lackluster action in the major averages and several leading stocks.
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    Investors digested a slew of economic data on Thursday. On the plus side, the Labor Department said weekly jobless claims fell by -29,000 to 409,000 last week but the four-week average is still above 400,000. On the downside, existing homes sales missed estimates at a 5.05 million annual unit rate, down -0.8% in April and tanked -12.9% vs. the same period in 2010. Leading economic indicators fell -0.3% in April following a 0.7% jump in March. The report also missed the Street’s estimates. In other news, the Philly Fed Survey also missed estimates which suggests sluggish economic growth may be on the horizon.
    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure
    From our point of view, the market rally is under serious pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this juncture. Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines and resistance is their 2011 highs. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds on a closing basis. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
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