Reuters
Thu Jul 26, 2012 12:31pm EDT
By Frank Tang
* ECB's Draghi comment to rescue euro zone underpins
* Gold briefly above 100 DMA, seen near inflection point
* SPDR Gold Trust posts outflow
(New details throughout, updates comment, changes byline,
dateline, previously LONDON)
By Frank Tang
NEW YORK, July 26 (Reuters) - Gold rose for a third session on Thursday, boosted by hopes of more monetary easing after
European Central Bank President Mario Draghi pledged to do whatever was necessary to protect the euro zone from collapse.
The metal briefly climbed over 1 percent, lifted by a rally on Wall Street after Draghi's remarks reassured
the equities market which expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to explore new tools to boost growth amid signs of economic
slowdown.
"Fundamentally, gold is definitely improved big time this morning because of comments by Draghi to save the euro, whichbasically means he's going to print money," said Adam Sarhan, chief executive of Sarhan Capital. "If he prints money, thatmeans gold is going higher."
Gold briefly broke above its 100-day moving average at $1,615.60 an ounce earlier in the session, marking the first
time bullion breached that level since May 1. Options-related buying also helped boost underlying gold futures as COMEX August
options will expire at Thursday's market close.
URL: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/07/26/markets-precious-idUSL4E8IQ2XM20120726
"Right now gold is testing resistance. If we can break above it, we will get another leg higher," said Sarhan. He added thatgold is approaching a key inflection point at $1,660 an ounce based on a downward-sloping curve connecting recent highs onweekly charts.
Spot gold was up 0.7 percent at $1,614.66 an ounce by 11:35 a.m. (1535 GMT), having earlier reached a three-week high
at $1,621.41. U.S. gold futures for August delivery were up $5.70 an ounce at $1,613.80, with trading volume about 25 percent
above its 30-day average, preliminary Reuters data showed. The higher-than-usual volume was partly skewed by option expiration.
Sharper appetite for risk and losses in the dollar versus the euro as a result of the Draghi comments also boosted buying
of U.S. equities and other commodities, and that underpinned gold. The S&P 500 index rose about 1 percent.
Further monetary stimulus would maintain pressure on long-term interest rates, keeping the opportunity cost of
holding gold at rock bottom, and boosting concerns over inflation much further down the track.
SPDR GOLD ETF POSTS OUTFLOW
HSBC analyst James Steel said that gold investors are now looking ahead to Friday's second-quarter U.S. GDP data. Gold may
take its next cue based on expectations of Fed stimulus and movements in the U.S. dollar and equities markets after the
economic indicator.
However, bullion's demand from the investment and physical sectors continued to remain weak. Gold buying from India, one of
the top bullion consumers, was still soft as a near-record low rupee curb buying due to the high price of gold in rupees.
The world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund SPDR Gold Trust reported a 2.1 tonne outflow on Wednesday. The
fund saw its biggest weekly outflow of physical metal this year last week.
Silver climbed 0.9 percent to $27.57 an ounce, while platinum was up 0.9 percent at $1,403.74 an ounce and
spot palladium rose 0.6 percent to $565.20 an ounce.
Prices at 11:35 a.m. EDT (1535 GMT)
LAST NET PCT YTD
CHG CHG CHG
US gold 1613.80 5.70 0.4% 3.0%
US silver 27.530 0.064 0.2% -1.4%
US platinum 1407.90 8.50 0.6% 0.6%
US palladium 570.00 4.75 0.8% -13.1%
Gold 1614.66 10.78 0.7% 3.3%
Silver 27.57 0.25 0.9% -0.4%
Platinum 1403.74 12.09 0.9% 0.8%
Palladium 565.20 3.20 0.6% -13.4%
Gold Fix 1618.00 15.00 0.9% 2.8%
Silver Fix 27.81 70.00 2.6% -1.3%
Platinum Fix 1408.00 7.00 0.5% 2.0%
Palladium Fix 571.00 5.00 0.9% -10.2%
(Additional reporting by Jan Harvey in London; Editing by
Andrew Hay)
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“I still think there is still some work to be done,” said Adam Sarhan, chief executive of
Sarhan Capital in New York.
“We are seeing a light-volume bounce up to a logical area of resistance … there is also the
issue of a death cross, which bodes poorly for the near-term outlook.”
A death cross occurs when the 50-day moving average sinks below, or crosses over, its 200-day
moving average.
(Graphic: link.reuters.com/puk53s )
“As long as copper stays below its 50- and 200-day moving averages, the bears remain in
control.”