Stocks Rally On Solid Earnings & Economic Data

Stocks Rally On Solid Earnings & Economic Data

The rally began overnight when Japan reported machinery orders surged +10.1% compared to a -4.5% decline expected by economists. More stronger than expected economic data was released in the US when import prices fell in September, reflecting a drop in energy prices. The -0.3% decline in the import-price index topped the median forecast and followed a +0.6% gain in August. Earnings news also topped estimates with companies such as CSX Corp (CSX), Intel Inc. (INTL), and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) releasing their Q3 results. The fact that the market rallied on the news bodes well for this 7-week rally.

Nasdaq 100 Is Forming A Very Bullish Pattern (Updated)

Nasdaq 100 Is Forming A Very Bullish Pattern (Updated)

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is forming a very bullish two year inverse head and shoulders bottoming pattern. The accompanying annotated graph illustrates all the important events since the financial crisis began in 2007. It is very healthy to see that this index has nearly repaired all the damage of 2008 and is perched just below the neckline of its large base. It is also important to note that April 2010’s highs correspond with the highs in June 2008 which form the neckline of this pattern. Technically, a new buy signal will be triggered if the NDX manages to trade above the neckline (2060) of this very large pattern. Until then, this market is extended and patience is paramount.

Tight Trading Range Continues

Tight Trading Range Continues

So far, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been very strong and stocks are simply pausing to consolidate their recent gains. It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend support (formerly resistance) in recent weeks. The next level of support for the major averages is their September highs, then their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly