Peter Thiel on Timing is Everything One of the dilemmas with our post-bubble hypothesis is that while the enormous distortions affecting the market, must eventually unwind, they can get bigger before reversing course. Balancing long-term and short-term views on the pivot of timing indicators is very tricky. For example, we think there is a housing…
STOCK MARKET COMMENTARY: Friday, October 12, 2013 The market positively reversed last week (opened lower and closed higher) after investors believed that a deal would get done in DC. So far this appears to be just another shallow pullback in size (% decline) and scope (weeks, not months). The primary catalyst behind this 4.5 year…
The benchmark S&P 500 index vaulted above resistance today after the ice broke in D.C… This has happened several times this year and reiterates how strong this market is. If the recent lows hold, this will be another normal and healthy pullback in both size (% decline) and scope (weeks, not months). It will also…
Fri Oct 4, 2013 8:55am EDT * Shutdown enters fourth day, investors watch debt ceiling * Dow, S&P 500 on track for second straight week of losses * Adobe Systems down; hackers stole source code, client data * Futures up: Dow 6 pts, S&P 500 2.7 pts, Nasdaq 4.75 pts By Ryan Vlastelica NEW YORK, Oct 4 (Reuters) – U.S. stock index futures pointed to a slightly higher…
STOCK MARKET COMMENTARY: FRIDAY, October 04, 2013 The market fell last week but closed in the upper half of its range after the US government shutdown for the first time since 1996! The S&P 500 is fighting to stay above its respective 50 dma line but the DJIA broke below it. The Nasdaq Composite and…
Sign Up For Our Free Newsletter & Get Powerful Ideas Directly To Your Inbox The Lovely: The US Gov’t Shutdown… Seriously DC? Hollywood can’t make this up! Good: Markets haven’t imploded after the US Gov’t Shutdown…yet The U.S. ISM Chicago PMI rose to 55.7, topping estimates for 53. Read here The ISM manufacturing index jumped to…
October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks – Mark Twain Get Powerful Ideas Delivered To Your Inbox How Wild Is October for S&P 500 Index ? Lets define wildness , by looking at the monthly range , calculated as ( high-low)*100/average(high:low) , nothing but range% of the month . Below…
Join Our Free Newsletter Who is Stanley Druckenmiller? Here is what hedge fund manager Scott Bessent says about Druckenmiller in the book “Inside the House of Money’ Stan may be the greatest moneymaking machine in history. He has Jim Roger’s analytical ability, George Soros’s trading ability, and the stomach of a riverboat gambler when it…
Join Our Free Newsletter & Get Powerful Ideas Delivered To Your Inbox Coutesty of WSJ By Josh Mitchell and Jeffrey Sparshott The U.S. government shutdown will halt releases of most official gauges of the economy. Private organizations produce some measures that could be used to track the economy, such as gauges from the Institute for Supply…
Government shutdown definition from Wikipedia In U.S. politics, a government shutdown is a situation in which the government stops providing all but “essential” services.[1] Typically, services that continue despite a shutdown include police,fire fighting, the National Weather Service and its parent agencies, medical services at federal facilities, the postal service, armed forces, air traffic management, and…