Weak Open But Strong Close!

SPX- Weak Open But Strong Close
SPX- Weak Open But Strong Close

Thursday, March 29, 2012
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and other risk assets fell on Thursday after the latest round of economic data missed estimates and fears emerged regarding the European  debt crisis. From our point of view, the major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday 1.3.12 which was Day 9 of their current rally attempt. Since then, stocks have been enjoying a very strong uptrend. The benchmark S&P 500 paused near its 2011 high (~1370) before moving higher and that level should now become support. The next level of support would be the 50 DMA line, then a deeper 5-9% pullback. It is important to note that the bulls remain in control of this market as long as the benchmark S&P 500 stays above its 50 DMA line.

Fear of an Economic Slowdown Hurts Stocks:

Stocks ended mixed on Thursday, recovering from a weak open, after fear spread regarding the global economic recovery, fresh EU debt woes, and weaker than expected economic data from the U.S.. European stock markets were smacked after workers in Spain went on strike to protect their austerity measures one day before their 2012 budget is slated to be released. Spain’s stock market, IBEX, fell to a four-month low while Italy’s also got hammered on debt woes. Meanwhile, two important economic reports missed estimates in the U.S. The Commerce Department said its final estimate for Q4 2011 GDP was unchanged at +3.0%. This was the strongest gain since Q2 of 2008 but missed the Street’s +3.2% estimate. Meanwhile, the Labor Department said weekly jobless claims fell by 5,000 to a seasonally adjusted +359,000 last week. Jobless claims fell to a four year low but missed the Street’s estimate of 350,000.

Market Outlook- Confirmed Rally

Risk assets (mainly stocks and a slew of commodities) are pulling back after a very healthy rally. This shallow pullback is considered healthy and shows how strong the bulls are at this point. However, if sellers show up and support is breached then the bears will have regained control of this market. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, feel free to contact us for more information. That’s what we are here for!
Coming Up This Week:
WEDNESDAY: Weekly mortgage apps, durable goods orders, oil inventories, 5-yr note auction, Fed’s Bullard speaks, FDA discusses obesity drugs
THURSDAY: GDP, jobless claims, corporate profits, Fed’s Plosser speaks, 7-yr note auction, farm prices, Fed’s Lacker speaks; Earnings from Best Buy, Research In Motion
FRIDAY: Personal income & outlays, Chicago PMI, consumer sentiment, Stringer’s last day as Sony CEO
Source: CNBC.com

Similar Posts

  • Global Markets Mixed As Geithner Heads To Europe

    Tuesday, December 6, 2011 Stock Market Commentary: Risk assets were mixed on Monday as optimism spread regarding the European debt crisis. From our point of view, the market confirmed its latest rally attempt on Wednesday, November 30, 2011 when all the major averages soared over +4% on monstrous volume in response to the global central banks coordinated efforts to…

  • Support Now Becomes Resistance

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and important upward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged our clients and readers to be extremely cautious as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. We have received a lot of “thank you” emails for being “spot on” and our cautious approach. We are humbled by your presence and very thankful for your continued support. Looking forward, the next level of resistance for the major averages is their respective 50 DMA lines then their 2011 highs. The next level of support is their longer term 200 DMA lines. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • 2nd Half Of 2011 Begins!

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    The market is back in a correction after another failed follow-through day on Tuesday, June 21, 2011. Now that we are back in a correction, defense remains the best offense. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200 DMA lines and then their March lows. The next level of resistance for the major averages is their respective 50 DMA lines. Trade accordingly.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday, June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. On June 21, 2011 we changed our Market Outlook to a “Confirmed Rally” after the latest FTD was produced. Two days later, on Thursday, June 23, 2011, our outlook changed to “Market In A Correction”after the market sold off hard on renewed economic woes. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • New Rally Confirmed!

    Wednesday, September 1, 2010 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks soared on Wednesday, produced a proper follow-through day (FTD), and confirmed their latest rally attempt (which began on Friday) after fear eased that the global economic recovery was in peril. Wednesday’s reported volume totals were higher on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange compared to Tuesday’s already high levels which suggests large institutions…

  • Day 4: Stocks End Lower

    Wednesday, February 10, 2010 Market Commentary: Stocks closed lower on speculation that the European Union will not bailout Greece. Volume was reported lower than the prior session on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange. Decliners led advancers by a small margin on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange. There were 6 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a…

  • Quarter-In-Review: Volatility Returns With A Vengeance

    Volatility Returns With A Vengeance Stocks ended mixed to mostly lower in Q1 2018 as volatility returned with a vengeance. The VIX, a popular measure of market volatility, surged in the first quarter and marked one of its largest quarterly advances in history. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, benchmark S&P 500, and small-cap Russell 2000…