Selling Continues On Wall St- 200 DMA Line Smacked

Tuesday, August 2, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks were smacked on Tuesday after the Senate finally passed the debt bill. It was disconcerting to see all the major averages slice and close below their respective 50 & 200 DMA lines which suggests the bears are getting stronger. The technical action is ominous which bodes poorly for the near term outlook. Looking forward, the next level of support are the 2011 lows and the next level of resistance are the 2011 highs.

Senate Passes Debt Bill, Same Store Sales, & Personal Spending/Income Miss Estimates:

Stocks opened lower on Tuesday as investors across the globe were concerned that the global economic recovery may be in jeopardy. The International Council of Shopping Centers said its weekly measure of same store sales at major retail chains slid -0.3% on a weekly basis but rose +4% vs. the same period last year. Both measures fell short of the Street’s estimate for a gain of +0.3% and +4.2%, respectively. The Commerce Department said both spending and income were soft in June. Spending contracted -0.2% which missed estimates for a +0.1% gain. It was also the largest drop in spending since September 2009. The report also showed that personal income rose +0.1% which also missed estimates for a gain of +0.2%.

Market Outlook- Market In A Correction

The latest action in the major averages suggests the market is back in a correction as all the major averages are flirting with their respective 200 DMA lines. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the recent action suggests caution is paramount at this stage until all the major averages rally back towards their respective 2011 highs. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
 

Stock Market Research?

Global Macro Research?

Learn How To Follow Trends?

Similar Posts

  • Day 8: Both Stocks & The US Dollar Rally

    Looking at the market, the major averages closed with modest gains on Wednesday as the major averages consolidate their recent move. As long as February 5th lows are not breached the window remains open for a new follow-through day (FTD) to emerge. A new follow-through day will confirm the current rally attempt and will be produced when one of the major averages rallies at least +1.7% on higher volume than the prior session as a new batch of leaders breakout of sound bases. However, if the February 5, 2010 lows are breached then the day count will be reset and a steeper correction may unfold.
    It is also important to see how the major averages react to their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines which were support and are now acting as resistance. Until they all close above that important level the technical damage remaining on the charts is a concern. So far, the market’s reaction has been tepid at best to the latest round of economic and earnings data which remains a concern. Remember that the market remains in a correction until a new new follow-through day emerges. Until then, patience is paramount.

  • Upward Trendline Under Attack!

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction
    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and downward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged caution as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off. The next level of resistance is their respective 2011 highs. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • New! Strong Week & Month On Wall Street!

    Market Outlook- Market In A Confirmed Rally
    From our point of view, the market is back in “rally-mode” as all the major averages continue to trade above their respective 50 DMA lines and are flirting with, or at, fresh 2011 highs! In addition, leading stocks have held up very well even as the major averages slid below their respective 50 DMA lines in mid-April which is another encouraging sign. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Want Better Results?
    You Need Better Ideas!
    We Know Markets!
    Learn How We Can Help You!