Stocks End Relatively Flat In Final Week of August

Market Action- Market In A Correction; 28-Week Rally Ends
All the major averages sliced below their respective 50 DMA lines on Thursday, March 10, 2011. Thursday, March 17, 2011 marked day 1 of a new rally attempt which means that the earliest a possible follow-through day (FTD) could emerge would be Tuesday, as long as Thursday’s lows are not breached. That said, the window is now open for a new FTD to emerge which will confirm the current rally attempt. However, if Thursday’s lows are breached, then the day count will be reset and odds will favor lower prices, not higher, will follow. It is important to note that the recent ominous action reiterates the importance of raising cash and playing strong defense until a new FTD emerges. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
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Heretofore, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been strong but the market action has been wide-and-loose which is not a healthy sign. The S&P 500 sliced below its two month upward trendline (shown above) which is not ideal. The next level of support for the major averages is their September highs, then their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. We have enjoyed large gains since the September 1st FTD and for the first time, the tape is getting sloppy. Trade accordingly.
Rally Continues On Wall Street Stocks continued to rally last week, helping the small cap Russell 2000 to jump to fresh record highs. On Christmas day, China’s central bank eased lending requirements which was viewed as another (bullish) step to stimulate their economy. The big news last week came from the natural gas market, not…
Tuesday, November 2, 2010 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks rallied on Tuesday as the nation went to the polls. Volume patterns remain healthy as the major averages have now begun their 10th week of their ongoing rally. However, it is important to note that there have been an ominous number of distribution days that have emerged…
Thursday, February 09, 2012 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks and a slew of other risk assets were relatively quiet on a rather busy news day. From our point of view, the major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday 1.3.12 which was Day 9 of their current rally attempt. It was also encouraging to see…
Wednesday marked day 1 of a new rally attempt for the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite. It is important to note that the window is now open for a proper FTD to emerge for the benchmark S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Even though, both indexes enjoyed strong gains today, volume, a critical indicator of institutional sponsorship, was lighter than the prior day’s level which prevented a proper FTD from emerging.