Stocks End Relatively Flat In Final Week of August


Thursday, February 23, 2012 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks and a slew of other risk assets were mixed on Thursday after fear spread that European economies were headed for a double dip recession and stagflation. The primary catalysts for the risk on trade was the ECB relief long term loan package in December 2011 and the…
Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure:
The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when several distribution days emerge or August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
Looking at the market, the action remains constructive. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, small cap Russell 2000 Index, S&P 500 Index, Nasdaq Composite and NYSE Composite indices are all trading near fresh 2009 highs which bodes well for this rally. The inverse relationship with the US dollar has eased in recent weeks as both stocks and the greenback have rallied in tandem. Ideally, one would like to see leadership and volume expand over the next few weeks as the major averages continue advancing.
Market Action- Market In A Correction
From our point of view, the current rally which began with the Thursday, March 24, 2011 FTD officially ended on Monday, April 18, 2011 after all the popular indexes sliced below their respective 50 DMA lines. The market is now in a correction which reiterates the importance of playing strong defense until a new rally is confirmed. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
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