S&P 500: Dangerous Black Swan Chart Formation
This very “interesting” chart came across our desk this afternoon:
Special Thanks to Mr. P & S K

This very “interesting” chart came across our desk this afternoon:
Special Thanks to Mr. P & S K

Sovereign debt woes continue to be the bane of this rally. At the end of April the S&P Rating Agency downgraded Greece’s debt to “junk” status, which accelerated the steep sell-off in the euro and sent it down to its 2008 lows! This sparked a world-wide panic sell-off which sent stocks plunging. In addition, Spain and Portugal’s debt was also downgraded which put pressure on a host of capital markets. Italy and Iceland are the two nations which analysts believe are also dealing with ominous debt levels. All of this helped the US dollar enjoy one of its strongest gains against the euro in over a year. Since November, the greenback has rallied smartly and jumped above its 50-day moving average (DMA) and 200 DMA lines. As expected, the stronger dollar sent US stocks and a slew of commodities (i.e. dollar denominated assets) lower as investors continue to debate our economic future.

NYSE CEO on Reform

These are the percent changes from the 2015 record highs to Monday’s low. Remember we are very oversold and way overdue to bounce…

The fact that there have only been a few distribution days (and not very damaging ones, technically) since the follow-though-day (FTD) bodes well for the current rally. It is also a welcome sign to see the market continue to improve as investors digest the latest round of stronger than expected economic and earnings data. Remember that now that a new rally has been confirmed, the window is open to proactively be buying high quality breakouts meeting the investment system guidelines. Trade accordingly. Never argue with the tape, and always keep your losses small

Long Sideways Patterns Are Normal For The Stock Market: This is one of my favorite charts because it clearly shows that we are in the middle of a long (12 yr) sideways pattern in the US stock market. These long sideways periods are “normal,” have happened before, and will happen again. …And So…

Fear & Greed play a huge role in trading/investing. Every serious trader/investor should be very aware of their psyche. Here is an intro to fear and a few steps on how to deal with it. Conquer Your Market Based Fears, Ask About Our Consulting Service Here How To Deal With Fear? Identify & Quantify…