Major Averages Back Above 50 DMA Lines!

SPX- Closes Above its Downward Trendline and 50 DMA Line
SPX- Closes Above its Downward Trendline and 50 DMA Line

Tuesday, April 17, 2012
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and other risk assets were mostly higher on Tuesday, snapping the recent sell-off. So far the reaction to Q1 earnings has been less than stellar. As earnings continue to be released in droves, it is paramount that we not only pay attention to the actual numbers but how the stocks (and major averages) react to the numbers.  This allows us to see how the market participants are “voting” and helps us filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: price action. The the Nasdaq composite, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the benchmark S&P 500 index are back above their respective 50 DMA lines which bodes well for the bulls. The small-cap Russell 2000 index is still below that closely followed level.

Stronger than Expected Earnings Help Stocks:

Stocks opened higher on Tuesday as investors digested the latest round of earnings and economic data. A slew of large profile companies released their Q1 earnings before Tuesday’s open ranging from Goldman Sachs (GS, to Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). Meanwhile, the economic data was not ideal. The Commerce Department said housing starts fell an expected -5.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 654,000 units in March. This missed the Street’s estimate for 705,000 and it was also disconcerting to see February’s reading be revised down to 694,000. Meanwhile, industrial production was unchanged for a second straight month in March which missed a gain of +0.3%.

Market Outlook- In A Correction

From our point of view, the market is getting stronger now that several of the major averages are fighting to get back above their respective 50 DMA lines. Therefore, probing the long side with close protective stops (below the 50 DMA line) might be prudent if you are looking for a low risk entry point. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, feel free to contact us for more information. That’s what we are here for!
 

Please Note:
After nearly 10 years of writing daily market reports we are Due to time constraints, this commentary will become a weekly note starting May 1, 2012.  
We would like to thank you for your continued support and patronage!

Similar Posts

  • 25-Week Rally Begins

    Market Action- Confirmed Rally; Week 25 Begins
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines in November as this market proves resilient and simply refuses to go down. From our point of view, the market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.
    Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
    Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

  • Quiet Day On Wall Street

    Market Action- Confirmed Rally; Week 25
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines in November as this market proves resilient and simply refuses to go down. From our point of view, the market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.
    Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
    Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

  • Japan's Credit Cut & Durable Goods Top Estimates

    Market Outlook- New Rally Confirmed!
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. This action suggests a subtle and bullish shift may be on the horizon. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

  • Week-In-Review: Stocks Rally As Earnings Season Begins

    Stocks Rally As Earnings Season Begins Stocks ended higher last week as investors digested a busy week of macro data and earnings season officially began.  The big bullish catalyst last week came from global central banks. The U.S. Fed and the European Central Bank (ECB) made dovish comments which prompted buyers to return from a…

  • Stocks End Week Mixed; Nasdaq Closes Below 50 DMA line- 1st Weekly Close Below It This Yr!

    Friday, April 20, 2012 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks ended the week mixed this week as investors digested a slew of earnings and economic data. As earnings and economic data continues to be released in droves, it is paramount that we not only pay attention to the actual numbers but how the stocks (and major averages) react to…

  • Day 8: Both Stocks & The US Dollar Rally

    Looking at the market, the major averages closed with modest gains on Wednesday as the major averages consolidate their recent move. As long as February 5th lows are not breached the window remains open for a new follow-through day (FTD) to emerge. A new follow-through day will confirm the current rally attempt and will be produced when one of the major averages rallies at least +1.7% on higher volume than the prior session as a new batch of leaders breakout of sound bases. However, if the February 5, 2010 lows are breached then the day count will be reset and a steeper correction may unfold.
    It is also important to see how the major averages react to their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines which were support and are now acting as resistance. Until they all close above that important level the technical damage remaining on the charts is a concern. So far, the market’s reaction has been tepid at best to the latest round of economic and earnings data which remains a concern. Remember that the market remains in a correction until a new new follow-through day emerges. Until then, patience is paramount.