Thursday, October 14, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:
Stocks edged lower after the latest round of stronger than expected earnings and economic data hit the tape. Volume patterns remain healthy as the major averages continue their 7-week rally. Healthy volume patterns are important because they suggest large institutional investors are aggressively buying, not selling, stocks. It is also encouraging to see, market internals remain healthy evidenced by an upward sloping Advance/Decline line and the fact that new 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on both exchanges.
Singapore’s Central Bank Raises Rates, US PPI Increases, Banks Fall, & Google Jumps in After Hours:
US producer prices rose in September for a second straight month. This was the first sign that inflation may be looming. Overnight, Singapore’s central bank decided to raise rates to combat inflation and ease restrictions on their currency. Singapore’s economy grow over 19% last quarter which makes it one of the fastest growing economies in the world! This sent the USD lower and a slew of dollar denominated assets higher. US stocks fell largely due to pressure from the highly influential banking sector. A slew of banks got smacked on Thursday as foreclosure fears spread. After Thursday’s close, Google Inc’s (GOOG) shares jumped +7% after they company reported solid Q3 results.
Market Action- Confirmed Rally:
So far, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been very strong and stocks are simply pausing to consolidate their recent gains. It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend support (formerly resistance) in recent weeks. The next level of support for the major averages is their September highs, then their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly.