Stocks Edge Higher; Dow Breaks 13,000!

Byinfo@50park.com
Dow Breaks 13K For 1st Time Since 2008
Dow Breaks 13K For 1st Time Since 2008

Tuesday, February 21, 2012
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and a slew of other risk assets rallied on Monday and Tuesday after Greece finally agreed to the onerous terms of their latest bailout package. The primary catalyst for the risk on trade was continued strength from the U.S. (and by extension global) economy in recent weeks. From our point of view, the major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday 1.3.12 which was Day 9 of their current rally attempt. It was also encouraging to see the S&P 500 break above its downward trendline and its longer term 200 DMA line. Looking forward, the S&P 500 has done a great job staying above its Q4 2011 high (~1292) and is now doing its best to stay above 1356 which corresponds with July’s high. The next level of resistance is 2011’s high just above 1370. The bulls remain in control as long as the benchmark S&P 500 trades above 1292 and then its 200 DMA line.

Monday & Tuesday’s Action: Stocks Edge Higher; Dow Breaks 13,000!

The stock market in U.S. was closed on Monday in observance of the President’s Day holiday. However, U.S. futures, and oversea’s markets enjoyed nice gains on Monday on renewed optimism vis-a-vis the latest bailout for Greece. On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average topped 13,000 for the first time since May 2008. The DJIA has been up every month since October and is currently enjoying one of its strongest rallies since the March 2009 low! Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite has already taken out its 2007 high and is currently sitting at its highest level since December 2000! Make no mistake about it, the bulls are clearly in control of this market as the global economy continues to recovery from the Great Recession in 2008 and 2009. In the short term, stocks are very extended to the upside and a 5-9% pullback would be considered “normal” and “healthy” for this very strong bull market.

Market Outlook- Confirmed Rally

Risk assets (stocks, FX, and commodities) have been acting better since the latter half of December. Now that the major U.S. averages scored a proper follow-through day the path of least resistance is higher. Looking forward, one can err on the long side as long as the benchmark S&P 500 remains above support (1292). Leadership is beginning to improve which is another healthy sign. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, feel free to contact us for more information. That’s what we are here for!
 

Similar Posts

  • Stocks Rally On Disconcerting Economic Data

    Byinfo@50park.com

    Thursday, January, 14, 2010 Market Commentary: Stocks edged higher after weaker than expected economic data was released. Volume was reported slightly higher than the prior session’s totals on the NYSE and about even on the Nasdaq exchange, which suggested large institutions were buying stocks. Advancers led decliners by nearly a 11-to-8 ratio on the NYSE and by a 16-to-11 ratio on the…

  • Stocks Fall on Fresh EU Woes

    Byinfo@50park.com

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure!
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. However, since then, they have gone virtually “no where” which puts the current rally under pressure. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

  • Stocks Fall As Rally Cools

    Byinfo@50park.com

    Market Outlook- Market In A Confirmed Rally
    From our point of view, the market is back in “rally-mode” as all the major averages continue to trade above their respective 50 DMA lines and recent chart highs. In addition, leading stocks have held up very well even as the major averages slid below their respective 50 DMA lines in mid-April which is another encouraging sign. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Want Better Results?
    You Need Better Ideas!
    We Know Markets!
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Stocks Erase 2011 Gains; Day Count Reset

    Byinfo@50park.com

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and important upward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged our clients and readers to be extremely cautious as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off. Looking forward, the next level of resistance for the major averages is their recent lows (i.e. 1294 in the S&P 500) and then their respective 50 DMA lines. The next level of support is their longer term 200 DMA lines and then their March 2011 lows.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. We have received a lot of “thank you” emails for being “spot on” in our cautious approach. We are humbled by your presence and very thankful for your continued support. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Quiet Day On Wall Street

    Byinfo@50park.com

    Market Action-Confirmed Uptrend
    The market is back in a confirmed uptrend after a modest (and healthy) -6% correction from its post-recovery highs. We find it very bullish to see the mid cap S&P 400 index hit a fresh all time high and the small cap Russell 2000 index flirt with its all time high. in addition, the Dow Jones Industrial Average vaulted to a fresh post-recovery high and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite are just shy of fresh 2011 highs! Finally, we are very happy to see a slew of high ranked stocks trigger fresh technical buy signals in recent weeks which suggests higher, not lower prices lie ahead. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Have you seen the “Wise Money Library”?
    Now, All In One Place, A Collection Of Strategies, Techniques and
    Resources That Professional Traders and Investors Use
    Have a Look: www.WiseMoneyLibrary.com