Stocks Edge Higher On Latest Economic & Earnings Data

Thursday, April 15, 2010
Market Commentary:

Stocks ended higher on Thursday as investors digested Wednesday’s large move and the latest round of earnings and economic data. Volume totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange were reported slightly lower compared to Wednesday’s totals. Advancers led decliners by a 4-to-3 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange and were about even on the NYSE. New 52-week highs easily trumped new lows on both exchanges. There were 89 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, higher than the 86 issues that appeared on the prior session. A healthy crop of new leaders making new highs bodes well for any market rally. Regular readers know we have repeatedly noted in this commentary –“the recent expansion in leadership has been a welcome improvement.”

Strong Mfg Data Offsets Weaker Jobs Data:

Before Thursday’s open, the Labor Department said weekly jobless claims unexpectedly climbed to 484,000, which is a two month high. The four-week moving average of initial claims, which smoothes out the weekly data, rose to 457,75 from 450,250. Elsewhere, the Federal Reserve said factory production rose +0.9% after rising +0.2% in February which topped analyst estimates. Oversea’s China said its economy surged nearly +12% last quarter which topped the Street’s forecast.

Earnings Data Continues To Top Estimates:

At this point, earnings have been positive, evidenced by the slew of stronger than expected results from several high profiile companies. After Thursday’s close, tech giant, Google Inc. (GOOG +1.07%) released another robust quarterly report but traded slightly lower in the after market as investors digest the numbers. Google’s Q1 earnings rose +31% vs the same period in 2009 while sales jumped +23%. Medical giant, Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG +1.06%) also topped estimates when they reported another outstanding quarter. The company said earnings surged +194% vs. Q1 2009 while sales jumped a very impressive +74%.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

The benchmark S&P 500 Index currently has 5 distribution days while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average have 4 since the March 1, 2010 follow-though-day (FTD). These distribution days have not been damaging which is a welcomed sign. Trade accordingly.

Similar Posts

  • Stocks Shrug Off Italy Downgrade

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure:
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when several distribution days emerge or August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

  • Week-In-Review: Market Finally Pulls Back…(A Little)

    Market Finally Pulls Back Overall, the major indices continue trading in a very tight range after a very strong ~10% post-brexit rally. So far, the action is normal and very healthy as the market appears to be pulling back from very extended conditions. Remember, there are two ways a market can pullback after a big rally: mover…

  • Week In Review; 50 DMA Line Is Resistance

    The bears returned from a three day hiatus on Thursday afternoon and erased Wednesday’s gains, sending the DJIA and the Nasdaq composite back below their respective 50 DMA lines. In addition, volume was heavier than the recent advance which was not a healthy sign. The highly influential financial group continues to lag its peers, evidenced by the lackluster action in several key names. Most of the major financial firms are now trading below both their respective 50 DMA and 200 DMA lines, which is another ominous sign. Stocks got smacked on Friday after news spread that French President Nicolas Sarkozy threatened to leave the EU if the trillion dollar bailout was not passed. Again, volume rose as the major averages fell. What does all this mean for investors? Simple, the market is in a correction which reiterates the importance of adopting a defense stance until a new rally is confirmed. Trade accordingly.

  • Week-In-Review: Stocks Resilient Despite Crummy Jobs Report

    Stocks Resilient After Crummy Jobs Report Stocks opened lower but closed near their highs after the jobs report disappointed and missed estimates by a rather large margin. We have seen this pattern all week, (open lower and close near the highs) which is a subtle but important sign of strength. The Labor Department said U.S….

  • Stocks Rally on Strong Economic Data

    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up in November and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. Put simply, stocks are strong. Trade accordingly. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *