Stocks Fall On Weak Earnings Outlook

Charity Auction!

The Market Technicians Association Charity Foundation
Take An Analyst To Lunch: Adam Sarhan

Monday, October 4, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks ended lower on Monday as the US dollar rallied and the latest round of economic data was released. Volume totals were reported lower on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange compared to Friday’s session which signaled that large institutions were not aggressively selling stocks. Decliners trumped advancers by nearly a 3-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange, while new 52-week highs easily outnumbered new 52-week lows on both exchanges. There were 19 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the 84 issues that appeared on the prior session.

Stocks Fall On Weak Earnings Outlook:

US capital goods orders and pending home sales rose in August while earnings forecasts were lowered on many large cap companies. Pending home sales rose for a second straight month which suggests the housing market may be stabilizing after a lousy second quarter. Many leading stocks got smacked on Monday as they pulled back towards important areas of support. The benchmark S&P 500 continued trading between its recent trading range of 1130-1150. One should expect this sideways action to continue until either of these important levels are breached on a closing basis.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

The action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been very strong and stocks are simply pausing to consolidate their recent gains. It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend support (formerly resistance) in recent weeks. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly.

Want Better Results?
Our Private Advisory Services Can Help You!

Sarhan Consulting provides both global macro and equity only consulting services to institutional clients around the world. For years, its clientele has participated in the firm’s objective market-based outlook, which has one primary goal: to provide stable trading ideas across all asset classes. 
Sarhan Capital’s consulting arm allows clients to participate in the idea generation process and be privy to many of Sarhan’s best ideas long before they are highlighted in other publications. In addition, clients receive objective feedback on their own ideas and are alerted each time Sarhan Capital traders buy and sell. Many institutional clients including hedge funds, private family offices, brokerages, registered investment advisers, and corporations, have turned to Sarhan Capital for personalized advisory/consulting services in recent years.

How We Can Help You:

  1. We employ a discretionary long/short global macro strategy that is profitable in both bull and bear markets.
  2. Achieve better results in the market by working with an objective third party who is not an internal “yes” man.
  3. Provide you with sound buy/sell ideas in real-time
  4. Provide objective feedback on your investment ideas and market outlook
  5. Contribute profitable ideas to your investment committee 
  6. All investment ideas are fully transparent, unbiased, and based on market action, not someone’s opinion.
  7. Help create uniformed structure within your organization!

 Contact Us Today To See How We Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • New Rally Confirmed; Stocks Close Above 200 DMA Line

    Friday, June 18, 2010 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks ended higher this week, confirmed their latest rally attempt, and the benchmark S&P 500 index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both closed above their respective 200 DMA lines which is an encouraging sign. Volume totals were reported higher on both major exchanges due to Friday’s quadruple witching day. Advancers led decliners by…

  • Earnings Miss; Stocks React

    Market Outlook- In A Correction:
    The major U.S. averages are still in a “correction” as they continue to bounce towards resistance of their 2-month base. The latest follow-through day (FTD) which began on August 23, 2011 has officially ended which means we will continue “counting” days before a new rally can be confirmed. In addition, it is important to note that the bulls scored a victory since many of the major averages closed above their downward sloping 50 DMA lines for the first time since late July! The next stop is September’s highs and then their 200 DMA lines. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. . If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Fall Sale- We Will Double Your Order!!!
    Limited-Time Offer!
    www.FindLeadingStocks.com

  • Day 1 Of A New Rally Attempt

    Looking at the market, Wednesday marked Day 1 of a new rally attempt which means that as long as Wednesday’s lows are not breached, the earliest a possible follow-through day could emerge will be this Monday. However, if Wednesday’s lows are taken out, then the day count will be reset and the chances for a steeper correction increase markedly. It is also important to see how the major averages react to their respective 50 DMA lines. Until they all close above that important level the technical damage remaining on the charts is a concern. So far, the market’s reaction has been tepid at best to the latest round of economic and earnings data. Remember that the recent series of distribution days coupled with the deleterious action in the major averages suggests large institutions are aggressively selling stocks. Disciplined investors will now wait for a new follow-through day to be produced before resuming any buying efforts. Until then, patience is key.

  • Week In Review: Stocks Edge Higher Ahead of Holiday Weekend

    Stocks Edge Higher Ahead of Long Weekend Stocks edged higher last week as investors digested the latest round of mixed economic and earnings data. In the short term, the market looks a little extended and due for a little pullback to digest its recent gain. The big take-away is that the stock market remains strong…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *