Stocks Mixed Ahead of Apple Earnings

Please Note:
After Nearly 10 Years of writing our daily stock market commentary, due to time constraints, this will become a weekly note-
Starting May 1, 2012.
We would like to thank you for your continued support and patronage!

Nasdaq Below Its 50 DMA line
Nasdaq Below Its 50 DMA line

Tuesday, April 24, 2012
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and a slew of other “risk assets” bounced on Tuesday after Monday’s shellacking. As earnings and economic data continues to be released in droves, it is paramount that we not only pay attention to the actual numbers but how the stocks (and major averages) react to the numbers. This allows us to see how the market participants are “voting” and helps us filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: price action. Since the beginning of April, the action has been less than stellar. We also find it disconcerting to see the benchmark S&P 500, Russell 2000, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq composite close below their 50 DMA lines.

Housing & Earnings Data Dominate The Headlines:

Stocks and a slew of risk assets opened higher on Monday as investors digested the latest round of economic and earnings data. A slew of earnings data was released which largely topped estimates. Meanwhile, the housing data was not ideal. The S&P Case-Shiller index, which measures home prices in 20 metropolitan areas around the country, fell for a sixth straight month. A separate report showed that new home sales plunged -7.1% which was the largest drop in almost a year and is not ideal for the ailing housing market, the jobs market, or the broader economy. The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index fell which is not ideal.

Market Outlook- In A Correction

From our point of view, the market is still digesting its strong move in Q1 of 2011. The major averages are currently struggling with their respective 50 DMA lines as investors digest a slew of earnings and economic data. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, feel free to contact us for more information. That’s what we are here for!
 

Similar Posts

  • Support Now Becomes Resistance

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and important upward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged our clients and readers to be extremely cautious as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. We have received a lot of “thank you” emails for being “spot on” and our cautious approach. We are humbled by your presence and very thankful for your continued support. Looking forward, the next level of resistance for the major averages is their respective 50 DMA lines then their 2011 highs. The next level of support is their longer term 200 DMA lines. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Stocks Advance on Hopes of More Central Bank Easing

    Friday, August 10, 2012 Stock Market Commentary: On average, risk-on assets rallied as hope spread that we will see more easing from global central banks. The latest round of economic and earnings data did little to excite investors as the data continues to be blasé at best. Some market participants are hoping that this lackluster…

  • Stocks Edge Higher After Retesting 200 DMA Line

    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, June 15, 2010 when they produced a sound follow-through day. Looking forward, the window is now open for disciplined investors to begin carefully buying high-ranked stocks again. Technically, it was encouraging to also see the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the benchmark S&P 500 Index rally above their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines. Looking forward, the 200 DMA line should now act as support as this market continues advancing, while any reversal would be a worrisome sign. Remember to remain very selective because all of the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50 DMA lines. It was somewhat disconcerting to see volume remain light (below average) behind the confirming gains. It is important to note that approximately 75% of FTDs lead to new sustained rallies, while 25% fail. In addition, every major rally in market history has begun with a FTD, but not every FTD leads to a new rally. Trade accordingly.

  • First Week of 2011; Stocks & USD Rally, Commodities Fall

    Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally Week 19
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up in November and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. Put simply, stocks are strong. Trade accordingly. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

  • Week-In-Review: The Market Is Getting Weaker, Not Stronger

    The Tape Is Getting Weaker The tape remains very split but is getting weaker. This was the 8th consecutive week that the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average closed below their respective 50 DMA lines. More worrisome for the bulls, the Russell 2000 broke below the neckline of a big double top pattern (see…