Stocks Fall As Dollar Slides

Monday, May 16, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and a host of commodities were relatively quiet as the U.S. dollar fell and investors digested the latest data from the U.S. manufacturing sector and the U.S. housing market. So far, the old adage, “Sell in May and Go Away,” appears to be working brilliantly.  From our vantage point, the market rally remains under pressure due to the lackluster action in the major averages and several leading stocks.

Manufacturing & Housing Data

Over the weekend, the head of the International Monetary Fund, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, was accussed of raping a cleaning lady at a NYC hotel. Before Monday’s open, the NY Empire State manufacturing index fell nearly 10 points to 11.88 which was higher than the boom/bust level of zero signalling expansion, albeit at a slower rate than prior months.
In other news, the National Association of Home Builders released its housing market index which is based on a survey in which respondents from the organization rate the condition of the general economy and the housing market. The index matched the last reading of 16 which suggests more time is needed before the ailing housing market improves.

Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure

From our point of view, the market rally is under pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this stage.  Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines and resistance is their 2011 highs. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

Want Better Results?

You Need Better Ideas!

We Know Markets!

Learn How We Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Stocks End Q1 Higher But Last Day Lower

    The benchmark S&P 500 index currently has 4 distribution days while the Nasdaq composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average have 3, since the March 1, 2010 follow-though-day (FTD). Normally, it is considered healthy for the major averages to have less than 4 distribution days in a four week period. It is also a welcome sign to see the market continue to improve as investors digest the latest round of stronger than expected economic and earnings data. Remember that now that a new rally has been confirmed, the window is open to proactively be buying high quality breakouts meeting the investment system guidelines. Trade accordingly.

  • Day 2 Of A New Rally Attempt; Stocks Negatively Reverse

    Monday, February 8, 2010 Market Commentary: The major averages negatively reversed and ended lower on Monday as concern spread that some European governments will struggle to fund ballooning budget deficits. Volume was lower than the prior session on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange. Decliners led advancers by nearly a 2-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange. There were only 5 high-ranked companies from…

  • Stocks Erase 2011 Gains; Day Count Reset

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and important upward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged our clients and readers to be extremely cautious as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off. Looking forward, the next level of resistance for the major averages is their recent lows (i.e. 1294 in the S&P 500) and then their respective 50 DMA lines. The next level of support is their longer term 200 DMA lines and then their March 2011 lows.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. We have received a lot of “thank you” emails for being “spot on” in our cautious approach. We are humbled by your presence and very thankful for your continued support. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • FedEx & Healthy Housing Data Lift Stocks

    It was encouraging to see the major averages continue rallying after breaking above their their respective 2-month downward trendlines and their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines on Friday. At this point, the window remains open for for high ranked stocks to be accumulated when they trigger fresh technical buy signals. If you are interested in learning more, feel free to contact us for a full list of high ranked candidates. Trade accordingly

  • CNBC Quote: Stocks mostly lower; Dow transports off 1%

    U.S. stocks traded mostly lower on Friday as investors digested a strong core inflation figure ahead of Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s afternoon speech. Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS, said the roughly 1 percent decline in the Dow transports was weighing on equities. Pressured primarily by airlines, the index is on track for…