Stocks Fall As Dollar Slides

Monday, May 16, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and a host of commodities were relatively quiet as the U.S. dollar fell and investors digested the latest data from the U.S. manufacturing sector and the U.S. housing market. So far, the old adage, “Sell in May and Go Away,” appears to be working brilliantly.  From our vantage point, the market rally remains under pressure due to the lackluster action in the major averages and several leading stocks.

Manufacturing & Housing Data

Over the weekend, the head of the International Monetary Fund, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, was accussed of raping a cleaning lady at a NYC hotel. Before Monday’s open, the NY Empire State manufacturing index fell nearly 10 points to 11.88 which was higher than the boom/bust level of zero signalling expansion, albeit at a slower rate than prior months.
In other news, the National Association of Home Builders released its housing market index which is based on a survey in which respondents from the organization rate the condition of the general economy and the housing market. The index matched the last reading of 16 which suggests more time is needed before the ailing housing market improves.

Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure

From our point of view, the market rally is under pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this stage.  Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines and resistance is their 2011 highs. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

Want Better Results?

You Need Better Ideas!

We Know Markets!

Learn How We Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Greek Parliament Approves Austerity Measures

    Monday, February 13, 2012 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks and a slew of other risk assets opened higher on Monday after the Greek parliament approved the closely contested austerity measures for their second bailout. From our point of view, the major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday 1.3.12 which was Day 9 of their…

  • Stocks Plunge To Fresh 2011 Lows!

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    The major U.S. averages are back in a “correction” as they continue to flirt with their 2011 lows. Allow us to be clear: If the 2011 lows are breached, we will likely see another leg down commence. Please, trade accordingly! Several high ranked leaders violated their respective 50 DMA lines in late September which bodes poorly for the bulls and suggests the bears are getting stronger. The latest follow-through day (FTD) which began on August 23, 2011 has officially ended which means we will begin “counting” days before a new rally can be confirmed. In addition, it is important to note that the bears remain in control of this market until the major averages trade above their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines). Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. . If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Save Over 50%!
    Limited-Time Offer!
    www.FindLeadingStocks.com
    Coming Up This Week:
    TUESDAY: Factory orders, Bernanke speaks, Apple iPhone event; Earnings from Yum Brands
    WEDNESDAY: Weekly mortgage apps, Challenger job-cut report, ADP employment report, IS non-mfg index, oil inventories; Earnings from Costco, Monsanto, Marriott
    THURSDAY: BoE announcement, ECB announcement, jobless claims, chain-store sales; Earnings from Constellation Brands
    FRIDAY: Non-farm payroll, wholesale trade, consumer credit, Sprint’s 4G plans unveiled
    Source: CNBC.com

  • Weak Economic Data Drags Stocks Lower

    Monday marked Day 2 of a new rally attempt which means the earliest a possible follow-through day (FTD) could emerge will be Wednesday. However, if at anytime, Friday’s lows (Day 1) are breached then the day count will be reset. The technical action in the major averages has recently been weak while the latest round of economic data has provided a poor outlook for the market and the global recovery. Currently, resistance for the the major averages are their 50-day moving average (DMA) lines, then their longer-term 200 DMA lines while support remains July’s lows. It is also disconcerting to see weakness in the financial group. Meanwhile, the action in leading stocks and fact that some high-ranked leaders are breaking out of sound bases can be considered somewhat encouraging. Still there is importance in remaining cautious until the major averages are back in a confirmed uptrend. Put simply, we can expect this sideways/choppy action to continue until the market breaks out above resistance or below support. The first scenario will have bullish ramifications while the second will be clearly bearish. Trade accordingly.

  • Week-In-Review: Another Record Setting Month On Wall Street

    Another Record Setting Month On Wall Street The market remains exceptionally strong as the bulls remain in clear control and stocks refuse to fall in a meaningful fashion. Every time the market hints at pulling back, almost immediately, the bulls show up (buy the dip crowd) and send stocks soaring. The two largest “down” days…

  • Week-In-Review: Another Record Setting Week On Wall Street

    Another Record Setting Week On Wall Street The major averages remain exceptionally strong as the market simply refuses to decline in any significant fashion. Comey is set to testify next week and that is the next big wild card for the market. In the short term, last month’s lows are the next level of support…