Stocks Score A FTD, New Rally Confirmed!

Tuesday, June 15, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

The current rally was confirmed after all the major averages scored a proper follow-through day (FTD) on Tuesday. Volume totals were reported higher on the Nasdaq and the NYSE. Advancers led decliners by a 5-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and nearly a 4-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 37 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, higher than the 31 issues that appeared on the prior session.  New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange.

Stocks Rally As Dollar Falls For 6th Consecutive Day:

The MSCI World Index advanced for a sixth consecutive day as the greenback continued its six day slide after a New York manufacturing report suggested the global economy remains strong. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s general economic index, which measures economic activity in the NY area, rose for an 11th consecutive month which helped offset European Debt woes. The weaker dollar helped a slew of dollar denominated assets (mainly stocks & commodities) rally. Elsewhere, oil jumped above $76 a barrel and the euro rose above $1.23.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

The Nasdaq composite, S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and NYSE composite confirmed their latest rally attempt and produced a sound FTD which means the window is now open to begin buying high-ranked stocks again. Technically, it was encouraging to see the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the benchmark S&P 500 index close above their respective 200 DMA lines.
At this point, the S&P 500 is down -8.5% from its 19-month high of 1,219 and managed to close above resistance (200 DMA line) of its latest trading range.  Looking forward, the 200 DMA line should now act as support as this market continues advancing. Remember to remain very selective because all the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50 DMA lines. It is important to note that approximately +75% of FTD’s lead to new sustained rallies, while +25% fail. In addition, every major rally in market history has begun with a FTD, but not every FTD leads to a new rally. Trade accordingly.

Are You Ready For This NEW Confirmed Rally?
Now that the major averages have confirmed a new rally, Don’t be left behind!
Inquire Today About Our Professional Money Management Services! 

Similar Posts

  • Stocks Fall On Renewed EU Debt Woes

    Thursday marked Day 2 of a new rally attempt which means that the earliest a possible follow-through day (FTD) could emerge will be Monday. However, if at anytime, Wednesday’s lows (Day 1) are breached then the day count will be reset. The technical action in the major averages and the latest round of economic data bodes poorly for the market and the global recovery. Currently, resistance for the the major averages are their 50 DMA lines, then their longer term 200 DMA lines while support remains July’s lows. It is also disconcerting to see weakness in the financial group while action in leading stocks has been questionable as evidenced by the dearth of high-ranked leaders breaking out of sound bases. This emphasizes the importance of remaining cautious until the rally is back in a confirmed uptrend. Put simply, we can expect this sideways/choppy action to continue until the market breaks out above resistance or below support. The first scenario will have bullish ramifications while the second will be clearly bearish. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Rally On ADP Jobs Report

    Market Action-Confirmed Uptrend
    From our point of view, the market is back in a confirmed uptrend after a modest (and healthy) -6% correction from its post-recovery highs. The fact that the Dow Jones Industrial Average, small-cap Russell 2000 index, and Copper all closed above their respective 50 DMA lines on Wednesday March, 23 was a very healthy sign and suggests higher prices will follow. The very next day, the benchmark S&P 500 regained that important level and broke above its downward trendline (shown above). Couple that with the fact that other markets like Oil, Silver, and Gold are all at fresh post recovery highs suggests it is only a matter of time until equities follow. The final bullish sign for us was that a slew of high ranked stocks triggered fresh technical buy signals this week which suggests higher, not lower prices lie ahead. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Don’t Miss Out!
    Have You Seen How Our New Site Can Help You!
    Visit: www.SarhanCapital.com Today!

  • Stocks Drift Lower On Last Day Of Q3

    The action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been very strong. Looking forward, the window is open for disciplined investors to carefully buy high-ranked stocks, while many pundits are expecting that markets may consolidate following recent gains. It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend support (formerly resistance) last week. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly.

  • Week-In-Review: Stocks Rally As Earnings Take Center Stage

    Special Offer: Do You Know The Cheapest Stocks On Wall Street? Our Members Do. Take Your 1-Month Free Trial Now Stocks Rally As Earnings Take Center Stage Stocks ended mixed to mostly higher last week as the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the benchmark S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite rallied, while the small-cap Russell…

  • Stocks Hit New 2010 Highs!

    The benchmark S&P 500 Index currently has 5 distribution days while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average have 4 since the March 1, 2010 follow-though-day (FTD). These distribution days have not been damaging, however the simple fact that we currently have 5 distribution days for the S&P 500 suggests a more cautious approach may be prudent. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Plunge As Contagion Fears Spread

    The market is currently in a correction which, according to historical precedent, suggests 3 out of 4 stocks will follow the market lower until a new follow-through day emerges. That said, taking the appropriate action on a case-by-case basis with your stocks prompts investors to raise cash when any holdings start getting in trouble. It is also important to note that the major averages have experienced multiple “corrections” since the March 2009 lows and each one has been mild at best (less than a -10% decline from the recent high). Therefore, it will be very interesting to see how low this correction goes before the bulls show up and defend support (if that happens).
    Additionally, it is important to note that the market can go much lower (or higher) than anyone thinks; so it is of the utmost importance to filter out the “noise” and carefully analyze price and volume for the best read on the health of the market.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *