Stocks Score A FTD, New Rally Confirmed!

Tuesday, June 15, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

The current rally was confirmed after all the major averages scored a proper follow-through day (FTD) on Tuesday. Volume totals were reported higher on the Nasdaq and the NYSE. Advancers led decliners by a 5-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and nearly a 4-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 37 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, higher than the 31 issues that appeared on the prior session.  New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange.

Stocks Rally As Dollar Falls For 6th Consecutive Day:

The MSCI World Index advanced for a sixth consecutive day as the greenback continued its six day slide after a New York manufacturing report suggested the global economy remains strong. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s general economic index, which measures economic activity in the NY area, rose for an 11th consecutive month which helped offset European Debt woes. The weaker dollar helped a slew of dollar denominated assets (mainly stocks & commodities) rally. Elsewhere, oil jumped above $76 a barrel and the euro rose above $1.23.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

The Nasdaq composite, S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and NYSE composite confirmed their latest rally attempt and produced a sound FTD which means the window is now open to begin buying high-ranked stocks again. Technically, it was encouraging to see the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the benchmark S&P 500 index close above their respective 200 DMA lines.
At this point, the S&P 500 is down -8.5% from its 19-month high of 1,219 and managed to close above resistance (200 DMA line) of its latest trading range.  Looking forward, the 200 DMA line should now act as support as this market continues advancing. Remember to remain very selective because all the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50 DMA lines. It is important to note that approximately +75% of FTD’s lead to new sustained rallies, while +25% fail. In addition, every major rally in market history has begun with a FTD, but not every FTD leads to a new rally. Trade accordingly.

Are You Ready For This NEW Confirmed Rally?
Now that the major averages have confirmed a new rally, Don’t be left behind!
Inquire Today About Our Professional Money Management Services! 

Similar Posts

  • S&P 500 Perched Below Resistance

    Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally Week 15
    It is encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the 50 DMA lines for the major averages. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. Put simply, stocks are strong. Trade accordingly.

  • Markets Perched Below Resistance

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure:
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when several distribution days emerge or August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Subscribe Now!
    www.FindLeadingStocks.com

  • Week In Review: Don't Fight Central Banks

    Don’t Fight Central Banks 06.06.14 The bulls emerged victorious in the first week of June sending the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) and several other popular averages to fresh highs. For the first 5.5-months of this year the market built a large bullish continuation base to digest 2013’s very strong rally (29%). Now that the SPX broke out…

  • Week In Review: Stocks Rally On More Easy Money

    Stocks Rally On More Easy Money Easy money from global central banks continues to be the primary driver of this very strong bull market. On Thursday, we saw the European Central Bank (ECB) increase and extend QE (print more money) and then on Friday, China’s central bank cut rates and took other easy money measures to stimulate…

  • Day 8: Both Stocks & The US Dollar Rally

    Looking at the market, the major averages closed with modest gains on Wednesday as the major averages consolidate their recent move. As long as February 5th lows are not breached the window remains open for a new follow-through day (FTD) to emerge. A new follow-through day will confirm the current rally attempt and will be produced when one of the major averages rallies at least +1.7% on higher volume than the prior session as a new batch of leaders breakout of sound bases. However, if the February 5, 2010 lows are breached then the day count will be reset and a steeper correction may unfold.
    It is also important to see how the major averages react to their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines which were support and are now acting as resistance. Until they all close above that important level the technical damage remaining on the charts is a concern. So far, the market’s reaction has been tepid at best to the latest round of economic and earnings data which remains a concern. Remember that the market remains in a correction until a new new follow-through day emerges. Until then, patience is paramount.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *