Stocks Dive On Tepid Housing Data

Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

The major averages ended in the red after existing home sales tanked, the 10-year Treasury yield plunged to the lowest level in 17 months, and the yen rose to the highest level versus the dollar since 1995! Volume reported on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange rose on Tuesday compared to Monday’s levels which marked the latest distribution day and effectively ended the current rally attempt. Decliners led advancers by over a 3-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by almost a 3-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week lows were about even with new 52-week highs on the NYSE but trailed by a large margin on the Nasdaq exchange. There were only 6 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, much lower than the 25 issues that appeared on the prior session.

Stocks Tank on Tepid Housing Data:

Overnight, stocks in Asia and Europe fell after the yen jumped to a 15- year high against the dollar and Treasury rates slid to their lowest level since the March 2009 bottom. This put pressure on US futures and set the stage for a weak open. The “big” headline of the day occurred when the National Association of Realtors said existing home sales slid by -27.2% to a 3.83 million annual rate in April. The outsized decline was attributed to a high unemployment rate and slowing economic data. This was also the lowest reading in a decade and lower than the worst estimate on Wall Street.

Market Action- In A Correction:

The technical action in the major averages continues to weaken alongside the latest round of tepid economic data. Currently, resistance for the the major averages are their 50 DMA lines, then their longer term 200 DMA lines. It is also disconcerting to see the action in several leading stocks remain questionable as evidenced by the dearth of high-ranked leaders breaking out of sound bases.
From our perspective, Monday’s negatively reversal coupled with Tuesday’s ugly distribution day effectively ended the latest rally attempt which emphasizes the importance of remaining cautious until the rally is back in a confirmed uptrend. Put simply, we can expect this sideways/choppy action to continue until the market breaks out above resistance or below support (recent chart lows). The first scenario will have bullish ramifications while the second will be clearly bearish. Trade accordingly.
The Markets In  A Correction- Does Your Broker Know?
If not, Contact us to learn about our Money Management Services. ACT NOW!

Similar Posts

  • Nasdaq Hits Fresh 2009 High As Dollar Rallies

    It was very encouraging to see the Nasdaq breakout of its current trading range and hit a new 2009 high on Monday! It is also very encouraging to see the Philly Semiconductor Index (SOX) gap higher and hit a fresh 2009 high as well. Meanwhile,the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 closed just below 10,500 and 1,120, their respective resistance levels. Apple Inc. (AAPL) closed above its 6-week downward trendline and above its 50 day moving average line which is a healthy sign and bodes well for this 42-week rally.

  • Stocks Down; Dollar Up

    Wednesday, March 24, 2010 Market Commentary: The major averages, US Treasuries, the euro and a slew of commodities pulled back as the dollar advanced after Portugal’s debt was downgraded by Fitch.The volume total on the NYSE was about even compared to Monday’s totals, while volume was reported slightly higher on the Nasdaq exchange. Decliners led advancers by more than…

  • Stocks End Holiday Week Mixed

    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 50 DMA line. The 12-week rally ended on Tuesday, November 16, 2010 after the major averages plunged in heavy volume back down towards their respective 50 DMA lines. In recent weeks, we have repeatedly written about how the major averages were experiencing wide-and-loose action after a big move and made it very clear that that was not a healthy sign. At this point, we are looking for a new rally to be confirmed with a new follow-through day before taking any new positions. Caution and patience are key at this point. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Rally Ahead of State of The Union Speech

    Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally; Week 22
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up in November and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

  • Week In Review: Stocks Soar As The Easy Money Party Continues

    Stocks Soar As The Easy Money Party Continues  After a brief 2.5 week consolidation, the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) soared to new record highs last week after China’s Central Bank cut rates and joined the easy money party. It has been a very “interesting” few weeks on Wall Street. At the end of October, we…

  • Summer Begins; New Rally Confirmed!

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    The market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and important upward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged our clients and readers to be extremely cautious as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off. Looking forward, the next level of resistance for the major averages is their recent lows (i.e. 1294 in the S&P 500) and then their respective 50 DMA lines. The next level of support is their longer term 200 DMA lines and then their March 2011 lows.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday, June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *